Hamilton vs Ross County Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
ZLX Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.07
Draw
3.71
Away Win
1.75
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Ross County stronger
Ross County rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Ross County stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Ross County have enjoyed a perfect away run in their last five outings with four wins and a single draw, while Hamilton remain unbeaten at home during the same span with identical winning and drawing records. Hamilton have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have only managed one clean sheet during that identical period. Ross County rate stronger on form and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 27 October 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Hamilton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points, while Ross County's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Ross County stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Hamilton unbeaten run
13
Hamilton points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Ross County
Ross County's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ross County win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hamilton win
Latest market chance 23.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.0% → 23.4%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 24.8%
−0.2 pts
Ross County win
Latest market chance 51.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
50.0% → 51.8%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hamilton
Draw
Ross County
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HamiltonRoss County
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
1st
14
Games Played
14
2.36
Points/Game
2.71
1.93
Goals/Game
3.50
0.71
Conceded/Game
0.64
11.3
Shots/Game
13.7
6.0
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Hamilton at home (7 matches) vs Ross County away (7 matches)
2.71
Points/Game
2.71
2.14
Goals/Game
3.14
0.57
Conceded/Game
0.71
86%
Win Rate
86%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hamilton
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ross County
Away form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
3.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hamilton Wins
1
Draws
2
Ross County Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Ross County1 – 1Hamilton
Ross County1 – 1Hamilton
Ross County2 – 1Hamilton
Hamilton1 – 2Ross County
Ross County0 – 2Hamilton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hamiltonvs
Ross County
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
3.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 55.5%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 57.0%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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