Hamilton vs Montrose Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
ZLX Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.43
Draw
4.47
Away Win
6.14
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Hamilton
Montrose
9'
🟨 S. Byrne
C. Blues (A. Comrie) ⚽
45+2'
51'
🟨 J. Barjonas
69'
🟨 H. Craig
73'
🟨 K. Freeman
82'
⚽ K. Freeman (G. Webster)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Hamilton
Hamilton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Hamilton an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hamilton have been perfect at home with five wins from their last five outings, while Montrose have recorded two victories and a draw in just as many away fixtures. The hosts have scored in every single one of their recent home games but have also kept two clean sheets during that same span. Hamilton rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Hamilton won the most recent meeting 5-0 on 1 August 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Montrose's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Hamilton's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points, while Montrose's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Hamilton.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Hamilton unbeaten run
15
Hamilton points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Hamilton
Hamilton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hamilton win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hamilton win
Latest market chance 64.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
66.8% → 64.6%
−2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.9% → 20.5%
+0.6 pts
Montrose win
Latest market chance 14.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
13.4% → 14.9%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hamilton
Draw
Montrose
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HamiltonMontrose
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
3rd
12
Games Played
12
2.67
Points/Game
1.58
2.17
Goals/Game
1.42
0.42
Conceded/Game
1.67
11.3
Shots/Game
7.2
6.0
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Hamilton at home (7 matches) vs Montrose away (7 matches)
2.71
Points/Game
1.14
2.14
Goals/Game
1.14
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.29
86%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hamilton
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Montrose
Away form
L
W
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hamilton Wins
4
Draws
1
Montrose Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Montrose0 – 5Hamilton
Montrose0 – 2Hamilton
Hamilton1 – 1Montrose
Montrose0 – 4Hamilton
Hamilton2 – 0Montrose
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hamiltonvs
Montrose
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 58.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.4%→Latest 52.4%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?