Hamilton vs East Fife Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
ZLX Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.30
Draw
5.00
Away Win
8.07
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Hamilton
East Fife
C. Blues ⚽
37'
K. Orsi (K. MacDonald) ⚽
63'
77'
⚽ E. McLeod
B. Black 🟨
85'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Hamilton
Hamilton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Hamilton a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hamilton arrive at home with a perfect record in their last five outings, securing all five victories without a single draw or defeat, while East Fife have struggled on the road recently, managing just one loss but failing to win any of their last five away fixtures and drawing four times. The hosts have been involved in scoring action in all five of their recent home matches, though they have also conceded goals in two of those same five games as they keep just three clean sheets at this end during that identical run. Hamilton rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 22 August 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Hamilton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while East Fife's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison points very strongly towards Hamilton.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Hamilton
Hamilton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hamilton win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hamilton win
Latest market chance 70.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
71.9% → 70.9%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.7% → 19.1%
+0.4 pts
East Fife win
Latest market chance 10.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
9.4% → 10.0%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hamilton
Draw
East Fife
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HamiltonEast Fife

Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
9th
10
Games Played
11
2.80
Points/Game
0.82
2.30
Goals/Game
0.73
0.30
Conceded/Game
1.27
11.3
Shots/Game
7.5
6.0
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Hamilton at home (7 matches) vs East Fife away (7 matches)
2.71
Points/Game
1.00
2.14
Goals/Game
0.86
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.00
86%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Hamilton
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

East Fife
Away form
D
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hamilton Wins
2
Draws
2
East Fife Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
East Fife0 – 0Hamilton
East Fife0 – 3Hamilton
Hamilton1 – 0East Fife
East Fife1 – 1Hamilton
Hamilton1 – 2East Fife
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hamiltonvs
East Fife

Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.80
0.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 56.3%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.7%→Latest 45.9%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?