East Kilbride vs Montrose Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
K-Park Training Academy
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.65
Draw
4.07
Away Win
4.20
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
East Kilbride
Montrose
D. O'Connor 🟨
56'
56'
⚽ (P) J. Sutherland
70'
🟨 S. McGinty
C. Elliott ⚽ (P)
72'
83'
🟨 J. Barjonas
M. Robertson 🟨
86'
C. McGuffie 🟨
89'
Starting Lineups
East Kilbride
M. Gill
S. Fagan
D. O'Connor
M. Robertson
E. East
S. Culbert
R. Armstrong
C. McGuffie
L. McGrattan
O. Moffat
C. Elliott
Montrose
C. Gill
R. Williamson
A. Quinn
S. McGinty
F. Duffy
H. Craig
S. Byrne
J. Barjonas
K. Freeman
G. Oliver
J. Sutherland
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. East Kilbride edge recent form, attack and defence, Montrose edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
East Kilbride slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
East Kilbride stronger
HomeAway
Defence
East Kilbride stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Montrose arrive at East Kilbride having recorded two victories in their last five away fixtures, whereas the hosts have secured three wins and a draw from their last five home outings. East Kilbride have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. East Kilbride rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Montrose rate stronger on head-to-head. Montrose won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 22 August 2026, having won 1 of the last 1 encounters to East Kilbride's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, East Kilbride's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points, while Montrose's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from East Kilbride
East Kilbride's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a East Kilbride win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
East Kilbride win
Latest market chance 56.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
58.7% → 56.4%
−2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.3% → 23.3%
+1.0 pts
Montrose win
Latest market chance 20.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
19.0% → 20.3%
+1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
East Kilbride
Draw
Montrose
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
East KilbrideMontrose
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
4th
10
Games Played
10
1.70
Points/Game
1.50
1.90
Goals/Game
1.30
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.90
9.4
Shots/Game
7.2
4.5
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
East Kilbride at home (7 matches) vs Montrose away (7 matches)
1.57
Points/Game
1.14
2.14
Goals/Game
1.14
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.29
43%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
East Kilbride
Home form
W
W
L
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Montrose
Away form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
East Kilbride Wins
0
Draws
0
Montrose Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Montrose3 – 0East Kilbride
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
East Kilbridevs
Montrose
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 60.7%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 59.7%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
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