East Kilbride vs Alloa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
K-Park Training Academy
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.59
Draw
4.04
Away Win
4.76
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
East Kilbride stronger
East Kilbride rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates East Kilbride stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
East Kilbride stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
East Kilbride stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Alloa have recorded just one victory and a single draw from their last five away outings, while East Kilbride have managed one win alongside two draws during their recent home fixtures. East Kilbride have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet across that same recent run. East Kilbride rate stronger on form and head-to-head. East Kilbride won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 19 September 2026, having won 1 of the last 1 encounters to Alloa's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, East Kilbride's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Alloa's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates East Kilbride stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards East Kilbride
East Kilbride's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a East Kilbride win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
East Kilbride win
Latest market chance 57.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
55.9% → 57.7%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.1% → 22.3%
−0.8 pts
Alloa win
Latest market chance 20.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
21.0% → 20.0%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
East Kilbride
Draw
Alloa
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
East KilbrideAlloa
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
9th
13
Games Played
14
1.62
Points/Game
0.86
1.77
Goals/Game
1.07
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.36
9.4
Shots/Game
9.4
4.5
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
East Kilbride at home (7 matches) vs Alloa away (7 matches)
1.57
Points/Game
1.00
2.14
Goals/Game
1.14
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.29
43%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
East Kilbride
Home form
L
W
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alloa
Away form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
East Kilbride Wins
1
Draws
0
Alloa Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Alloa1 – 2East Kilbride
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
East Kilbridevs
Alloa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 61.2%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 59.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?