East Fife vs Alloa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MGM Timber Bayview Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.20
Draw
3.17
Away Win
3.12
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
East Fife
Alloa
25'
🟨 C. O'Donnell
C. Beattie 🟨
32'
E. McLeod 🟨
36'
41'
⚽ O. Foster (M. Cameron)
L. Newton 🟨
59'
77'
⚽ C. O'Donnell (M. Aitken)
86'
⚽ K. Glasgow (O. Foster)
Starting Lineups
East Fife
M. Rollo
E. McLeod
H. Seisay
A. Munro
L. Newton
K. Millar
J. Healy
C. Beattie
C. Ballantyne
R. Peggie
C. Ross
Alloa
R. Stewart
O. Foster
J. McGrath
S. Taggart
C. O'Donnell
A. Crilly
S. Hetherington
S. Scougall
K. Glasgow
M. Aitken
M. Cameron
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. East Fife edge recent form, Alloa edge head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
East Fife slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Alloa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Alloa have recorded just a solitary win and a draw from their last five away outings, while East Fife have managed only one victory in two defeats and two draws during that same span at home. East Fife have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets within that same recent sample. East Fife hold a slight advantage in form, while Alloa rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 1 August 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, East Fife's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points, while Alloa's implied win probability has fallen by 3.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Alloa
Alloa's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Alloa win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. East Fife remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
East Fife win
Latest market chance 41.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
38.7% → 41.1%
+2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.6% → 28.7%
+1.1 pts
Alloa win
Latest market chance 30.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.7% → 30.2%
−3.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
East Fife
Draw
Alloa
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
East FifeAlloa
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
8th
10
Games Played
10
0.90
Points/Game
0.90
0.80
Goals/Game
0.90
1.10
Conceded/Game
1.30
7.5
Shots/Game
9.4
3.6
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
East Fife at home (7 matches) vs Alloa away (7 matches)
1.14
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.14
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.29
29%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
East Fife
Home form
W
D
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alloa
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
East Fife Wins
0
Draws
2
Alloa Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.4
Alloa0 – 0East Fife
Alloa2 – 0East Fife
East Fife0 – 2Alloa
Alloa1 – 1East Fife
East Fife0 – 1Alloa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
East Fifevs
Alloa
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.8%→Latest 48.2%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 53.5%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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