Alloa vs Queen of Sth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Recreation Park
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.88
Away Win
3.80
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Alloa
Queen of Sth
13'
⚽ C. Young (N. Clark)
29'
🟨 S. Want
62'
🟨 L. Smith
M. Aitken 🟨
64'
M. Cameron 🟨
83'
83'
🟨 C. Goldie
86'
🟨 Z. MacKenzie
R. Stewart 🟥
90+5'
90+5'
🟨 C. Coughlin
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Alloa edge attack, defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Alloa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Alloa stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Alloa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Queen of Sth have managed just one win from their last five away outings, whereas Alloa have recorded a single victory alongside two draws during their most recent home fixtures. Alloa have found the net in three of their last five matches at home while keeping a clean sheet on two occasions during that same period. Alloa rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in attack and head-to-head, while form is closely matched. Alloa won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 22 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Queen of Sth's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Alloa's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Queen of Sth's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Alloa losing run
3
Queen of Sth points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Alloa
Alloa's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Alloa win as more likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Alloa win
Latest market chance 53.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
52.8% → 53.7%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 23.9%
−0.3 pts
Queen of Sth win
Latest market chance 22.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.0% → 22.4%
−0.6 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlloaQueen of Sth

Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
8th
11
Games Played
11
1.09
Points/Game
0.91
1.09
Goals/Game
1.09
1.18
Conceded/Game
3.09
9.4
Shots/Game
8.5
4.4
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Alloa at home (7 matches) vs Queen of Sth away (7 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
0.86
1.00
Goals/Game
0.71
1.43
Conceded/Game
3.00
14%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Alloa
Home form
D
W
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Queen of Sth
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Alloa Wins
2
Draws
0
Queen of Sth Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Queen of Sth0 – 2Alloa
Alloa1 – 4Queen of Sth
Queen of Sth1 – 2Alloa
Alloa0 – 2Queen of Sth
Queen of Sth1 – 0Alloa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Alloavs
Queen of Sth

Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 58.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 58.1%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?