Alloa vs Airdrie Utd Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Recreation Park
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.82
Draw
3.64
Away Win
2.16
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Alloa
Airdrie Utd
21'
⚽ L. Gibson
31'
⚽ J. Gentles
S. Scougall 🟨
38'
M. Aitken ⚽
40'
53'
🟨 K. Taylor
K. Glasgow 🟨
54'
64'
🟨 D. Gallagher
S. Taggart ⚽ (P)
79'
90+2'
⚽ J. Gentles (R. Mahon)
90+2'
🟨 C. Burnside
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Alloa edge defence, Airdrie Utd edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Airdrie Utd stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Alloa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Airdrie Utd stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Both sides have struggled in their recent outings, with Airdrie Utd recording just one win and one draw from five away matches while Alloa share that exact record of one victory and one stalemate across their last five home fixtures. Alloa have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have managed to keep a clean sheet only once during that same span. Airdrie Utd rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Alloa hold a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Airdrie Utd won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 12 September 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Alloa's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 1-day comparison window, Alloa's implied win probability has fallen by 4.9 percentage points, while Airdrie Utd's implied win probability has risen by 5.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Airdrie Utd
Airdrie Utd's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Airdrie Utd win as more likely than it did 1 day ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Alloa win
Latest market chance 32.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
37.5% → 32.6%
−4.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.2%
−0.1 pts
Airdrie Utd win
Latest market chance 41.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
36.2% → 41.2%
+5.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Alloa
Airdrie Utd
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
6th
13
Games Played
13
0.92
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.77
1.23
Conceded/Game
1.54
9.4
Shots/Game
8.0
4.4
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Alloa at home (7 matches) vs Airdrie Utd away (7 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
1.14
1.00
Goals/Game
1.14
1.43
Conceded/Game
2.14
14%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Alloa
Home form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Airdrie Utd
Away form
L
L
W
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Alloa Wins
1
Draws
0
Airdrie Utd Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-09-122026-2027
Airdrie Utd1 – 0Alloa
2023-04-012022-2023
Alloa0 – 1Airdrie Utd
2023-01-282022-2023
Airdrie Utd4 – 0Alloa
2022-10-152022-2023
Alloa2 – 0Airdrie Utd
2022-08-202022-2023
Airdrie Utd2 – 0Alloa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Alloa
vs
Airdrie Utd
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
30.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 51.2%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.4%→Latest 55.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
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