Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rvs Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ochilview Park
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.16
Draw
3.30
Away Win
2.30
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Stenhousemuir
Raith Rvs
M. Anderson (S. Young) ⚽
20'
46'
⚽ J. Rowe (A. Lyall)
L. Grant 🟨
56'
56'
🟨 K. Turner
S. Young 🟨
83'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stenhousemuir edge recent form and defence, Raith Rvs edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Raith Rvs slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Raith Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Raith Rvs have recorded three wins and a single draw from their last five away fixtures, while Stenhousemuir remain unbeaten in four consecutive home matches. At home, the hosts have scored in all four of their recent outings and kept three clean sheets within that same short sample. Stenhousemuir rate stronger on form and defence, while Raith Rvs rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 1 August 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Stenhousemuir unbeaten run
12
Stenhousemuir points from last 4 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stenhousemuir win
Latest market chance 29.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.0% → 29.3%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.6% → 29.4%
−0.2 pts
Raith Rvs win
Latest market chance 41.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.3% → 41.3%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stenhousemuir
Draw
Raith Rvs
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StenhousemuirRaith Rvs
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
3rd
9
Games Played
10
2.44
Points/Game
2.00
1.33
Goals/Game
1.50
0.44
Conceded/Game
0.60
7.1
Shots/Game
9.7
3.0
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Stenhousemuir at home (9 matches) vs Raith Rvs away (7 matches)
1.44
Points/Game
2.00
0.89
Goals/Game
1.57
1.11
Conceded/Game
0.57
44%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stenhousemuir
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Raith Rvs
Away form
W
L
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stenhousemuir Wins
0
Draws
2
Raith Rvs Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Raith Rvs1 – 1Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir1 – 1Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs5 – 1Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir1 – 3Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs2 – 0Stenhousemuir
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stenhousemuirvs
Raith Rvs
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.50
Goals conceded / game
0.60
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 42.1%→Latest 42.0%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.6%→Latest 48.4%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?