Stenhousemuir vs Queens Park Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ochilview Park
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.86
Draw
3.60
Away Win
4.02
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Stenhousemuir stronger
Stenhousemuir rate stronger in recent form; Queens Park edge head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Stenhousemuir stronger.
Leads 1 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Queens Park stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Queens Park have endured a difficult away run with five defeats in their last five outings, while Stenhousemuir sit at home having recorded just one draw from their last five matches. Stenhousemuir have managed to score in only one of their last five home fixtures and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Stenhousemuir rate stronger on form, while Queens Park rate stronger on head-to-head. Stenhousemuir won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 22 August 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Queens Park's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Stenhousemuir's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points, while Queens Park's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Stenhousemuir stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Stenhousemuir unbeaten run
0
Queens Park points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Stenhousemuir win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stenhousemuir win
Latest market chance 50.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
48.9% → 50.3%
+1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.2%
−0.4 pts
Queens Park win
Latest market chance 23.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.5% → 23.5%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stenhousemuir
Draw
Queens Park
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StenhousemuirQueens Park
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
10th
14
Games Played
14
1.64
Points/Game
0.50
1.14
Goals/Game
0.57
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.64
7.1
Shots/Game
5.4
3.0
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Stenhousemuir at home (9 matches) vs Queens Park away (7 matches)
1.44
Points/Game
0.14
0.89
Goals/Game
0.43
1.11
Conceded/Game
1.86
44%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stenhousemuir
Home form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Queens Park
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stenhousemuir Wins
1
Draws
1
Queens Park Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Queens Park0 – 2Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir1 – 3Queens Park
Queens Park3 – 1Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir0 – 0Queens Park
Queens Park2 – 1Stenhousemuir
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stenhousemuirvs
Queens Park
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
6/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.3%→Latest 46.2%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 49.1%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?