Queens Park vs Inverness C Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The City Stadium
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.08
Draw
4.04
Away Win
1.76
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Queens Park
Inverness C
7'
⚽ G. Shinnie
A. Connolly (L. Stewart) ⚽
18'
A. Connolly (M. Ruth) ⚽
41'
M. Ruth 🟨
49'
58'
🟨 L. Stewart
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Inverness C
Inverness C rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Inverness C an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inverness C slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Inverness C have managed just one victory in their last five away outings, while Queens Park have secured a single home win across their own recent five matches. Queens Park have scored in two of their last five home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Inverness C rate stronger on form, attack and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Inverness C won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 13 April 2024, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Queens Park's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Queens Park's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points, while Inverness C's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Inverness C.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Queens Park losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Queens Park points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Queens Park
Queens Park's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Queens Park win as more likely than it did 12 days ago. Inverness C remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Queens Park win
Latest market chance 21.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
18.8% → 21.2%
+2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 24.7%
−0.2 pts
Inverness C win
Latest market chance 54.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
56.3% → 54.1%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Queens Park
Draw
Inverness C
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Queens ParkInverness C
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
5th
9
Games Played
9
0.44
Points/Game
1.44
0.44
Goals/Game
1.22
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
5.4
Shots/Game
8.6
2.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Queens Park at home (8 matches) vs Inverness C away (8 matches)
1.12
Points/Game
1.00
0.88
Goals/Game
1.38
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.88
38%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Queens Park
Home form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Inverness C
Away form
D
L
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Queens Park Wins
3
Draws
0
Inverness C Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Queens Park2 – 1Inverness C
Queens Park0 – 1Inverness C
Inverness C0 – 1Queens Park
Queens Park1 – 4Inverness C
Inverness C1 – 2Queens Park
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Queens Parkvs
Inverness C
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
6/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 49.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 50.2%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?