Queens Park vs Dunfermline Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The City Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.82
Draw
4.07
Away Win
1.55
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Queens Park
Dunfermline
S. Martin 🟨
15'
18'
⚽ R. MacLeod (A. Tod)
42'
🟨 R. Fraser
68'
🟨 O. Adams
T. McDonnell 🟨
90'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Dunfermline
Dunfermline rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Dunfermline an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Queens Park have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Dunfermline have managed just a solitary win across their corresponding away fixtures over the same period. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sample. Dunfermline rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Dunfermline won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 12 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Queens Park's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Queens Park's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Dunfermline's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Dunfermline.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Dunfermline
Dunfermline's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dunfermline win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Queens Park win
Latest market chance 16.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.0% → 16.8%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.9% → 23.7%
−1.2 pts
Dunfermline win
Latest market chance 59.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
57.1% → 59.5%
+2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Queens Park
Draw
Dunfermline
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Queens ParkDunfermline
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
5th
11
Games Played
10
0.64
Points/Game
1.50
0.55
Goals/Game
0.80
1.64
Conceded/Game
0.60
5.4
Shots/Game
11.7
2.6
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Queens Park at home (8 matches) vs Dunfermline away (10 matches)
1.12
Points/Game
1.70
0.88
Goals/Game
0.60
1.38
Conceded/Game
0.40
38%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Queens Park
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dunfermline
Away form
L
D
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Queens Park Wins
0
Draws
2
Dunfermline Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.4
Dunfermline2 – 0Queens Park
Queens Park0 – 2Dunfermline
Dunfermline1 – 0Queens Park
Queens Park1 – 1Dunfermline
Dunfermline0 – 0Queens Park
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Queens Parkvs
Dunfermline
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
0/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.6%→Latest 51.0%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.7%→Latest 49.7%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?