Partick vs Stenhousemuir Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Firhill Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.48
Draw
4.33
Away Win
6.32
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Partick
Stenhousemuir
E. Henderson (T. Watt) ⚽
7'
E. Henderson (T. Watt) ⚽
25'
E. Henderson (S. Drozd) ⚽
56'
74'
🟨 L. Grant
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Partick edge attack and defence, Stenhousemuir edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stenhousemuir slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Partick stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Partick stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stenhousemuir stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Partick have enjoyed a perfect run at home with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Stenhousemuir are on an encouraging recent record away from home with three victories, one draw and just a single defeat in their last five matches. At home, Partick have found the net in three of their last five matches but have also kept clean sheets in all five of those same recent outings. Stenhousemuir rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Partick rate stronger on attack and defence. Stenhousemuir won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 15 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Partick's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Partick win
Latest market chance 64.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
64.6% → 64.3%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.0% → 22.1%
+0.1 pts
Stenhousemuir win
Latest market chance 13.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.3% → 13.6%
+0.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Partick
Draw
Stenhousemuir
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Partick
Stenhousemuir
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
1st
11
Games Played
10
2.00
Points/Game
2.30
1.09
Goals/Game
1.30
0.36
Conceded/Game
0.50
11.7
Shots/Game
7.1
4.6
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Partick at home (7 matches) vs Stenhousemuir away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.43
1.57
Goals/Game
1.14
0.43
Conceded/Game
1.43
57%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Partick
Home form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
0.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
5/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Stenhousemuir
Away form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Partick Wins
2
Draws
0
Stenhousemuir Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
2026-09-152026-2027
Stenhousemuir1 – 0Partick
2001-05-052000-2001
Partick4 – 0Stenhousemuir
2001-02-172000-2001
Stenhousemuir2 – 0Partick
2000-12-262000-2001
Partick3 – 0Stenhousemuir
2000-08-192000-2001
Stenhousemuir4 – 0Partick
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Partick
vs
Stenhousemuir
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.40
Goals conceded / game
0.50
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
31.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
47.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.0%→Latest 51.8%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.9%→Latest 47.0%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…