Morton vs Stenhousemuir Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Cappielow Park
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.65
Draw
3.34
Away Win
2.68
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 3
Match Events ?
Morton
Stenhousemuir
D. Borso ⚽
7'
M. Garrity 🟨
9'
I. Wilson 🟨
11'
D. Borso (C. Sandilands) ⚽
17'
C. Okike 🟥
27'
28'
⚽ D. Carrick
33'
⚽ E. O'Reilly
D. Borso 🟨
41'
46'
⚽ F. Robson
D. Borso ⚽
51'
75'
🟨 S. Young
D. Borso (C. Sandilands) ⚽
76'
G. Gillespie 🟨
87'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Morton edge head-to-head, Stenhousemuir edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stenhousemuir slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Morton stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Stenhousemuir have secured three wins from their last five away outings, whereas Morton have suffered four defeats in their last five home matches. Morton have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Stenhousemuir hold a slight advantage in form, while Morton rate stronger on head-to-head. Stenhousemuir won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 8 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Morton's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Stenhousemuir unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Morton points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Morton win
Latest market chance 35.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.1% → 35.2%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 28.5%
+0.5 pts
Stenhousemuir win
Latest market chance 36.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.9% → 36.4%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Morton
Draw
Stenhousemuir
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MortonStenhousemuir
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
4th
12
Games Played
13
0.83
Points/Game
1.77
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.92
7.4
Shots/Game
7.1
2.7
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Morton at home (7 matches) vs Stenhousemuir away (7 matches)
0.86
Points/Game
1.43
1.29
Goals/Game
1.14
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.43
29%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Morton
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stenhousemuir
Away form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Morton Wins
3
Draws
0
Stenhousemuir Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.8
Stenhousemuir2 – 0Morton
Morton3 – 2Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir2 – 3Morton
Morton3 – 1Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir2 – 1Morton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mortonvs
Stenhousemuir
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.40
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
1/10
2/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 46.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 52.4%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?