Morton vs Queens Park Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Cappielow Park
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.47
Draw
3.25
Away Win
2.92
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Morton
Queens Park
7'
🟨 R. Lamie
G. Gillespie ⚽ (P)
13'
J. Longridge 🟨
34'
34'
🟨 M. Shiels
37'
🟨 C. Smith
M. Garrity (K. Robertson) ⚽
43'
D. Borso 🟨
69'
70'
🟨 E. Murray
90+1'
🟨 A. McCallion
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Morton edge attack, Queens Park edge recent form and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Queens Park stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Morton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Queens Park stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Queens Park have recorded just one draw from their last five away fixtures, while Morton remain winless in their last five home outings. Morton have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, yet they have conceded in every single one of those same five encounters. Queens Park rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Morton rate stronger on attack, while defence is closely matched. Queens Park won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 5 September 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Morton's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Morton's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points, while Queens Park's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Morton losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Morton points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Queens Park
Queens Park's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Queens Park win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Morton remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Morton win
Latest market chance 37.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
35.9% → 37.2%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.1% → 29.0%
+0.9 pts
Queens Park win
Latest market chance 33.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
35.9% → 33.7%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Morton
Draw
Queens Park
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MortonQueens Park
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
9th
10
Games Played
10
0.40
Points/Game
0.70
0.70
Goals/Game
0.60
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.60
7.4
Shots/Game
5.4
2.7
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Morton at home (7 matches) vs Queens Park away (7 matches)
0.86
Points/Game
0.14
1.29
Goals/Game
0.43
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.86
29%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Morton
Home form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Queens Park
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Morton Wins
1
Draws
2
Queens Park Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Queens Park2 – 1Morton
Morton0 – 0Queens Park
Queens Park3 – 2Morton
Morton2 – 1Queens Park
Queens Park0 – 0Morton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mortonvs
Queens Park
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.7%→Latest 45.4%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 51.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?