Livingston vs Morton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

The Home of the Set Fare Arena
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.26
Draw
5.84
Away Win
9.14
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Livingston stronger
Livingston rate stronger in head-to-head; recent form is closely matched. The overall statistical comparison rates Livingston stronger.
Leads 1 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Livingston stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Morton have secured two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Livingston have managed just one victory and a single draw in their corresponding home sample over the same period. Livingston have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of those same five fixtures. Livingston rate stronger on head-to-head, while form is closely matched. Livingston won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 11 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Morton's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Livingston stronger overall.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Livingston win
Latest market chance 72.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
72.7% → 72.5%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.1% → 17.4%
+0.3 pts
Morton win
Latest market chance 10.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
10.2% → 10.1%
−0.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 9Nov 10Nov 11Nov 12Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Livingston
Draw
Morton
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Livingston
Morton
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
9th
14
Games Played
13
1.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.36
Goals/Game
1.23
0.86
Conceded/Game
1.77
11.7
Shots/Game
7.4
3.6
Shots on Target
2.7
Home vs Away Context
Livingston at home (7 matches) vs Morton away (6 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.17
1.29
Goals/Game
1.17
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
43%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Livingston
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Morton
Away form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Livingston Wins
3
Draws
2
Morton Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-09-112026-2027
Morton1 – 4Livingston
2025-04-122024-2025
Morton1 – 2Livingston
2025-02-252024-2025
Livingston3 – 2Morton
2024-12-072024-2025
Morton0 – 0Livingston
2024-08-242024-2025
Livingston1 – 1Morton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Livingston
vs
Morton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.9%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
40.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
48.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.2%→Latest 60.9%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.6%→Latest 48.2%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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