Inverness C vs Livingston Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.28
Away Win
3.11
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Inverness C
Livingston
49'
🟨 C. Montano
A. Stewart (L. Stewart) ⚽
65'
72'
⚽ C. Montano
82'
🟨 L. Polworth
90+1'
🟨 B. Kabongolo
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Inverness C edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inverness C slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inverness C stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Livingston arrives with an impressive away record of four wins and a single draw from their last five outings, while Inverness C have secured three victories at home alongside one draw in the same span. At home, the hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches yet have also kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Inverness C rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form. The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Inverness C's implied win probability has risen by 4.7 percentage points, while Livingston's implied win probability has fallen by 4.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Inverness C
Inverness C's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Inverness C win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inverness C win
Latest market chance 39.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
35.2% → 39.9%
+4.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 29.0%
−0.2 pts
Livingston win
Latest market chance 31.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
35.6% → 31.1%
−4.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Inverness C
Draw
Livingston
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Inverness CLivingston
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
5th
13
Games Played
13
1.46
Points/Game
1.54
1.31
Goals/Game
1.38
1.23
Conceded/Game
0.85
8.6
Shots/Game
11.7
4.0
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Inverness C at home (7 matches) vs Livingston away (8 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.75
1.14
Goals/Game
1.62
0.57
Conceded/Game
0.62
43%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inverness C
Home form
D
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Livingston
Away form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inverness C Wins
1
Draws
3
Livingston Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Livingston2 – 2Inverness C
Livingston0 – 1Inverness C
Inverness C1 – 1Livingston
Livingston0 – 0Inverness C
Inverness C1 – 3Livingston
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Inverness Cvs
Livingston
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded / game
0.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.3%→Latest 49.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.5%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?