Dunfermline vs Partick Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
East End Park
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.94
Draw
3.19
Away Win
2.49
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Dunfermline
Partick
13'
⚽ T. Watt (A. Fitzpatrick)
A. Tod (O. Adams) ⚽
41'
62'
🟨 L. Ashcroft
D. Lobban 🟨
82'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Partick edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Partick stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Partick slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Partick stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Partick have secured three wins and a single draw from their last five away outings, while Dunfermline remain unbeaten at home with two victories and three draws in their corresponding sample. Dunfermline have found the net in three of their last five home matches yet kept four clean sheets during that same period. Partick rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Partick won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Dunfermline's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Dunfermline's implied win probability has fallen by 0.4 percentage points, while Partick's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Partick
Partick's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Partick win as more likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dunfermline win
Latest market chance 32.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.5% → 32.1%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.9% → 29.4%
−0.5 pts
Partick win
Latest market chance 38.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
37.6% → 38.4%
+0.8 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DunfermlinePartick

Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
3rd
9
Games Played
10
1.56
Points/Game
2.10
0.78
Goals/Game
1.10
0.56
Conceded/Game
0.30
11.7
Shots/Game
11.7
4.6
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Dunfermline at home (7 matches) vs Partick away (9 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
2.00
1.57
Goals/Game
1.00
0.57
Conceded/Game
0.56
43%
Win Rate
56%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Dunfermline
Home form
D
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Partick
Away form
L
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dunfermline Wins
0
Draws
2
Partick Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Dunfermline1 – 1Partick
Partick2 – 0Dunfermline
Dunfermline2 – 2Partick
Partick1 – 0Dunfermline
Dunfermline0 – 2Partick
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dunfermlinevs
Partick

Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded / game
0.40
0/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 48.4%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 54.1%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?