Dunfermline vs Inverness C Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
East End Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.06
Draw
3.43
Away Win
3.65
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 1
Match Events ?
Dunfermline
Inverness C
A. Donnelly 🟨
11'
11'
⚽ (P) A. Bavidge
40'
🟨 P. Allan
N. Abdulai 🟨
44'
O. Adams (A. Oyirwoth) ⚽
47'
O. Shaw (A. Tod) ⚽
54'
O. Shaw (O. Adams) ⚽
63'
65'
🟨 A. Stewart
N. Abdulai (A. Tod) ⚽
68'
K. Corbally ⚽
79'
90+1'
🟨 R. Duncan
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dunfermline edge defence, recent form, attack and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Dunfermline stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dunfermline have remained unbeaten in their last five home outings, while Inverness C sit with two wins and a single draw from their last five away matches. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home fixtures but also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Dunfermline rate stronger on defence, while form, attack and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 1 August 2026, ended level, with 5 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Dunfermline's implied win probability has risen by 3.9 percentage points, while Inverness C's implied win probability has fallen by 3.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Dunfermline
Dunfermline's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dunfermline win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dunfermline win
Latest market chance 46.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
42.1% → 46.0%
+3.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 27.5%
−0.5 pts
Inverness C win
Latest market chance 26.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
29.9% → 26.5%
−3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dunfermline
Draw
Inverness C
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DunfermlineInverness C
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
6th
12
Games Played
12
1.75
Points/Game
1.58
0.83
Goals/Game
1.33
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.92
11.7
Shots/Game
8.6
4.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Dunfermline at home (7 matches) vs Inverness C away (8 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
1.00
1.57
Goals/Game
1.38
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.88
43%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dunfermline
Home form
W
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Inverness C
Away form
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dunfermline Wins
0
Draws
5
Inverness C Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.2
Inverness C0 – 0Dunfermline
Dunfermline1 – 1Inverness C
Inverness C0 – 0Dunfermline
Dunfermline1 – 1Inverness C
Inverness C1 – 1Dunfermline
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dunfermlinevs
Inverness C
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.40
Goals conceded / game
1.20
0/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.8%→Latest 47.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.4%→Latest 51.6%−1.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?