Ayr vs Raith Rvs Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Somerset Park
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.11
Draw
3.21
Away Win
2.34
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Raith Rvs stronger
Raith Rvs rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Raith Rvs stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Raith Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Raith Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Raith Rvs have enjoyed an impressive away run with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Ayr struggle at home having recorded just a single victory alongside one draw in that same span. Ayr have found the net in two of their last five home matches but have conceded in every single one of those fixtures without keeping a clean sheet. Raith Rvs rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Raith Rvs won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 22 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Ayr's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The statistical comparison rates Raith Rvs stronger overall.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Raith Rvs remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ayr win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.8% → 30.3%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.0% → 29.2%
+1.2 pts
Raith Rvs win
Latest market chance 40.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.2% → 40.5%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ayr
Draw
Raith Rvs
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AyrRaith Rvs
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
2nd
13
Games Played
14
1.15
Points/Game
1.79
1.08
Goals/Game
1.43
1.38
Conceded/Game
0.64
5.4
Shots/Game
9.7
2.9
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Ayr at home (8 matches) vs Raith Rvs away (7 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.57
1.25
Conceded/Game
0.57
25%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ayr
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Raith Rvs
Away form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ayr Wins
2
Draws
0
Raith Rvs Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Raith Rvs2 – 0Ayr
Raith Rvs3 – 0Ayr
Ayr2 – 1Raith Rvs
Raith Rvs0 – 2Ayr
Ayr0 – 1Raith Rvs
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ayrvs
Raith Rvs
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.3%→Latest 42.7%−4.6 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 49.3%−3.3 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?