Ayr vs Queens Park Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Somerset Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.68
Draw
3.85
Away Win
5.05
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Ayr
Queens Park
R. Taylor (K. Holt) ⚽
26'
S. McMann 🟨
35'
50'
🟨 L. Stewart
57'
⚽ A. Connolly
M. Rus (S. McMann) ⚽
67'
J. Murphy 🟨
72'
83'
⚽ A. Connolly (C. Smith)
L. McBeth ⚽
90+3'
90+5'
🟨 A. Connolly
K. Holt 🟨
90+6'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ayr edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ayr stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ayr stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ayr stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ayr stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Queens Park have recorded just one draw from their last five away fixtures, while Ayr remain winless at home in their last five outings with a solitary draw to show for it. Ayr have managed to find the net in only two of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Ayr rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Ayr won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 18 September 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Queens Park's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Ayr's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points, while Queens Park's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Queens Park losing run
1
Ayr points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Ayr
Ayr's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ayr win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ayr win
Latest market chance 54.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.6% → 54.9%
+3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.6% → 25.8%
−0.8 pts
Queens Park win
Latest market chance 19.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.7% → 19.3%
−2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ayr
Draw
Queens Park
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AyrQueens Park
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
10th
11
Games Played
12
1.09
Points/Game
0.58
0.91
Goals/Game
0.50
1.09
Conceded/Game
1.58
5.4
Shots/Game
5.4
2.9
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Ayr at home (8 matches) vs Queens Park away (7 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.14
1.00
Goals/Game
0.43
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.86
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ayr
Home form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Queens Park
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ayr Wins
1
Draws
3
Queens Park Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Queens Park0 – 2Ayr
Queens Park1 – 1Ayr
Ayr1 – 2Queens Park
Queens Park0 – 0Ayr
Ayr1 – 1Queens Park
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ayrvs
Queens Park
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.3%→Latest 47.6%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.2%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
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