Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio José Alvalade
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.24
Draw
6.67
Away Win
10.62
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Sp Lisbon
Academico Viseu
9'
🟨 Luis Silva
11'
🟨 Cihan Kahraman
24'
⚽ João Guilherme (Robinho)
Issa Doumbia 🟨
41'
45+6'
🟨 Nils Mortimer
Luis Suárez (Iván Fresneda) ⚽
62'
74'
⚽ João Guilherme (Soufiane Messeguem)
Maximiliano Araujo 🟨
88'
90+4'
🟨 Alejandro Mestanza
Match Statistics ?
71%
Ball Possession
29%
28
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
11
Corner Kicks
0
14
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Sp Lisbon (4-2-3-1)
Kaique
Iván Fresneda
Ibrahima Ba
Gonçalo Inácio
M. Araújo
Sergi Altimira
I. Doumbia
Luis Guilherme
Flávio Gonçalves
N. Irankunda
L. Suárez
Academico Viseu (4-1-4-1)
Ewerton
Robinho
A. Correia
N. Michelis
Miguel Brau
Luís Silva
Nils Mortimer
S. Messeguem
C. Kahraman
João Guilherme
André Clóvis
Player Ratings ?
Sp Lisbon
L. SuárezF7.8
Gonçalo InácioD7.2
N. IrankundaM7.2
Academico Viseu
João GuilhermeM8.8
S. MesseguemM7.4
N. MichelisD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sp Lisbon
Sp Lisbon rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Sp Lisbon a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Lisbon stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sp Lisbon stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sp Lisbon stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Academico Viseu have enjoyed an encouraging away record with two wins and two draws from their last four outings, while Sp Lisbon remain unbeaten at home with three victories and two draws in five matches. Sp Lisbon have found the net in all five of their recent home games but have managed just one clean sheet during that same span. Sp Lisbon rate stronger on form, attack and defence. Over the 13-day comparison window, Sp Lisbon's implied win probability has fallen by 3.8 percentage points, while Academico Viseu's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Sp Lisbon a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Sp Lisbon unbeaten run
47%
Sp Lisbon yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Sp Lisbon
Sp Lisbon's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sp Lisbon win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sp Lisbon win
Latest market chance 76.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
80.4% → 76.6%
−3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 14.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
13.3% → 14.4%
+1.1 pts
Academico Viseu win
Latest market chance 9.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
6.3% → 9.0%
+2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sp Lisbon
Draw
Academico Viseu
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sp LisbonAcademico Viseu
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
6th
8
Games Played
8
2.25
Points/Game
1.75
2.50
Goals/Game
1.38
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.25
15.7
Shots/Game
10.3
5.8
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Sp Lisbon at home (7 matches) vs Academico Viseu away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.57
2.00
Goals/Game
1.29
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.00
57%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sp Lisbon
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Academico Viseu
Away form
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 4 away
Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Academico Viseu.
1.75
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
2/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Sp Lisbon and Academico Viseu.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sp Lisbonvs
Academico Viseu
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.4%→Latest 69.6%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.0%→Latest 53.7%+7.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?