Sp Braga vs Gil Vicente Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 20:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.59
Draw
3.99
Away Win
6.14
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Sp Braga
Gil Vicente
25'
🟨 Mohamed Kaba
Pau Victor ⚽
33'
38'
🟨 Luís Miguel Correia Pinto
Jean-Baptiste Gorby 🟨
41'
49'
⚽ Walace França (Murilo Souza)
57'
🟨 Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
72'
⚽ (OG) Diogo Martins Travassos
Victor Gómez 🟨
83'
89'
🟨 Jose Carlos Natario Ferreira
Ricardo Horta 🟨
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
18
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
1
13
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Sp Braga (3-4-2-1)
Bernardo Fontes
G. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho
A. Bajrami
Diogo Travassos
João Moutinho
J. Gorby
Pau Victor
Ricardo Horta
Diego Rodrigues
J. Wind
Gil Vicente (4-2-3-1)
Lucão
Ricardo Esgaio
M. Elimbi Gilbert
Jonathan Buatu
David Moreira
A. Lausen
Diogo Ferreira Prioste
Murilo
Santi García
Gil Pinto Martins
M. Kaba
Player Ratings ?
Sp Braga
Pau VictorM7.6
Vitor CarvalhoD7.1
G. LagerbielkeD7.0
Gil Vicente
WalaceF8.2
Ricardo EsgaioD7.7
LucãoG7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sp Braga edge recent form and attack, Gil Vicente edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Braga stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sp Braga stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gil Vicente stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Gil Vicente have recorded two wins and one draw from their last five away fixtures, while Sp Braga boast three victories in their most recent five home outings. Sp Braga have found the net in all five of their latest home matches and have kept three clean sheets during that same period. Sp Braga rate stronger on form and attack, while Gil Vicente rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Gil Vicente won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Sp Braga's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 1-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
46%
Sp Braga yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sp Braga win
Latest market chance 59.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
59.8% → 59.8%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.4% → 24.4%
±0.0 pts
Gil Vicente win
Latest market chance 15.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.9% → 15.9%
±0.0 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sp BragaGil Vicente
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
8th
7
Games Played
7
1.57
Points/Game
1.57
1.14
Goals/Game
0.86
1.14
Conceded/Game
0.71
14.2
Shots/Game
13.4
4.0
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Sp Braga at home (7 matches) vs Gil Vicente away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
2.17
1.29
Goals/Game
1.17
1.14
Conceded/Game
0.83
57%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sp Braga
Home form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gil Vicente
Away form
L
D
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sp Braga Wins
2
Draws
1
Gil Vicente Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Gil Vicente2 – 1Sp Braga
Sp Braga0 – 1Gil Vicente
Sp Braga2 – 0Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente0 – 0Sp Braga
Sp Braga2 – 1Gil Vicente
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sp Bragavs
Gil Vicente
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.2%→Latest 46.7%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.2%→Latest 45.9%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Sp Braga's 10 matches and 1 of Gil Vicente's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?