Sp Braga vs Famalicao Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.69
Draw
3.69
Away Win
5.57
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Sp Braga
Famalicao
21'
🟨 Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura
Vitor Carvalho 🟨
40'
40'
🟨 Mathias De Amorim
Ricardo Horta (Adrian Barisic) ⚽
53'
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera 🟨
60'
Víctor Rofino Gordo ⚽ (OG)
67'
70'
🟨 Rodrigo Pinheiro
70'
🟥 Rodrigo Pinheiro
81'
🟨 Óscar Aranda Subiela
Fra Navarro 🟨
81'
Sergio Barcia 🟨
85'
Pau Victor (Victor Gómez) ⚽
88'
Jean-Baptiste Gorby 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
4
4
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
1
24
Fouls
9
5
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Sp Braga (4-2-3-1)
Bernardo Fontes
Víctor Gómez
A. Barišić
Sergio Barcia
Diogo Travassos
Vitor Carvalho
João Moutinho
M. Dorgeles
Ricardo Horta
Gabri Martínez
Fran Navarro
Famalicao (4-2-3-1)
L. Carević
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Víctor Rofino
L. Realpe
Gustavo Garcia
T. van de Looi
Mathias De Amorim
R. Beney
Pedro Santos
Sorriso
G. Koutsias
Player Ratings ?
Sp Braga
Ricardo HortaM8.2
A. BarišićD7.7
Pau VictorF7.5
Famalicao
Óscar ArandaF6.5
Gil DiasF6.4
F. van BreemenD6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sp Braga edge head-to-head, Famalicao edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Famalicao stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Famalicao slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Braga stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Famalicao arrive at the ground with an encouraging away record of three wins and a single draw from their last five outings, whereas Sp Braga have endured a tougher time at home with two victories but three defeats in the same span. The hosts have shown consistent offensive output by finding the net in all five of their recent home matches, though they have conceded in three of those fixtures to leave them with just two clean sheets from that sample. Famalicao rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Sp Braga rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Sp Braga's implied win probability has risen by 0.4 percentage points, while Famalicao's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Famalicao
Famalicao's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Famalicao win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Sp Braga remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sp Braga win
Latest market chance 55.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.7% → 55.1%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 26.2%
+0.4 pts
Famalicao win
Latest market chance 18.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.6% → 18.6%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sp Braga
Draw
Famalicao
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sp BragaFamalicao
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
11th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.11
1.00
Goals/Game
1.56
1.22
Conceded/Game
1.22
14.2
Shots/Game
10.0
4.0
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Sp Braga at home (7 matches) vs Famalicao away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.57
1.29
Goals/Game
2.14
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.00
57%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sp Braga
Home form
W
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Famalicao
Away form
L
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sp Braga Wins
2
Draws
3
Famalicao Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.6
Sp Braga2 – 2Famalicao
Famalicao1 – 2Sp Braga
Famalicao1 – 1Sp Braga
Sp Braga3 – 3Famalicao
Famalicao1 – 2Sp Braga
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sp Bragavs
Famalicao
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.6%→Latest 44.7%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.6%→Latest 46.6%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?