Santa Clara vs Benfica Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio de São Miguel
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
7.43
Draw
4.31
Away Win
1.32
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Santa Clara
Benfica
8'
🟨 Alexander Bah
10'
🟨 Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira ⚽ (P)
32'
Emanuel Moreira 🟨
36'
Pedro Pacheco 🟨
40'
59'
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
62'
⚽ Vangelis Pavlidis (Gianluca Prestianni)
68'
⚽ Gianluca Prestianni
74'
🟨 Fredrik Aursnes
88'
🟨 Samuel Dahl
89'
🟨 Jhon Durán
Guilherme Romão 🟨
90'
Joao Vasconcelos 🟨
90+3'
90+6'
🟥 Jhon Durán
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
13
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Santa Clara (4-2-3-1)
Lucas França
Lucas Soares
Pedro Pacheco
Emanuel Fernandes
Guilherme Romão
Pedro Ferreira
Daniel Borges
Vinícius Lopes
Tiago Ribeiro
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
Benfica (4-2-3-1)
Samuel Soares
A. Bah
Tomás Araújo
C. Lenglet
S. Dahl
F. Aursnes
João Palhinha
Rafa
H. Sudakov
G. Prestianni
V. Pavlidis
Player Ratings ?
Santa Clara
Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF7.4
Lucas SoaresD6.8
Vinícius LopesM6.3
Benfica
G. PrestianniM8.2
V. PavlidisF7.6
Samuel SoaresG7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Santa Clara edge defence, Benfica edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Benfica slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Benfica stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Benfica arrive with four wins from their last five away outings, while Santa Clara have remained unbeaten at home during that same span. Santa Clara have scored in four of their last five home matches yet have also kept four clean sheets in that identical period. Benfica rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Santa Clara rate stronger on defence. Benfica won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 13 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Santa Clara's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Santa Clara's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Benfica's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Benfica unbeaten run
12
Benfica points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Benfica
Benfica's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Benfica win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Santa Clara win
Latest market chance 11.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
12.2% → 11.0%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.1% → 20.6%
−0.5 pts
Benfica win
Latest market chance 68.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
66.8% → 68.4%
+1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Santa Clara
Draw
Benfica
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Santa ClaraBenfica
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
2nd
8
Games Played
8
2.25
Points/Game
2.38
1.50
Goals/Game
3.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.88
12.6
Shots/Game
18.3
3.5
Shots on Target
6.1
Home vs Away Context
Santa Clara at home (7 matches) vs Benfica away (7 matches)
1.14
Points/Game
2.57
1.43
Goals/Game
3.14
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.00
29%
Win Rate
86%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Santa Clara
Home form
D
W
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Benfica
Away form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
3.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Santa Clara Wins
0
Draws
1
Benfica Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.8
Santa Clara1 – 2Benfica
Santa Clara1 – 2Benfica
Benfica1 – 1Santa Clara
Santa Clara0 – 1Benfica
Benfica4 – 1Santa Clara
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Santa Claravs
Benfica
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.90
0.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 51.3%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.4%→Latest 44.3%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Benfica's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?