Rio Ave vs Sp Braga Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio dos Arcos
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.10
Draw
4.32
Away Win
1.55
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Rio Ave
Sp Braga
Diogo Nascimento 🟨
53'
Diogo Bezerra 🟨
67'
67'
⚽ (P) Ricardo Horta
79'
🟨 Fra Navarro
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
4
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
2
0
Corner Kicks
8
12
Fouls
22
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Rio Ave (4-2-3-1)
E. van der Gouw
João Tomé
J. Lomboto
Gustavo Mancha
M. Vrousai
Diogo Nascimento
G. Liavas
S. Clemmensen
M. Patricio
Diogo Bezerra
J. Blesa
Sp Braga (3-4-3)
Bernardo Fontes
A. Barišić
G. Lagerbielke
B. Arrey-Mbi
Diogo Travassos
João Moutinho
J. Gorby
Gabri Martínez
Pau Victor
Fran Navarro
Ricardo Horta
Player Ratings ?
Rio Ave
João ToméD6.9
Gustavo ManchaD6.8
M. PatricioM6.7
Sp Braga
M. DorgelesM7.1
Víctor GómezD7.0
J. GorbyM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sp Braga
Sp Braga rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Sp Braga a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Braga stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sp Braga slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sp Braga stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Braga stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sp Braga have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Rio Ave have managed a solitary victory in their last five home matches. Rio Ave have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet across that same sample. Sp Braga rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Sp Braga won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 8 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Rio Ave's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Sp Braga a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Sp Braga losing run
57%
Sp Braga yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rio Ave win
Latest market chance 16.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.5% → 16.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.8% → 22.8%
±0.0 pts
Sp Braga win
Latest market chance 60.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
60.8% → 60.8%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rio Ave
Draw
Sp Braga
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Rio AveSp Braga
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
8th
10
Games Played
10
0.70
Points/Game
1.40
0.90
Goals/Game
1.20
2.30
Conceded/Game
1.10
7.6
Shots/Game
14.2
3.2
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Rio Ave at home (7 matches) vs Sp Braga away (6 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
1.33
1.29
Goals/Game
1.00
2.71
Conceded/Game
1.00
14%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rio Ave
Home form
L
D
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sp Braga
Away form
D
W
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rio Ave Wins
1
Draws
2
Sp Braga Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Sp Braga3 – 0Rio Ave
Rio Ave2 – 2Sp Braga
Rio Ave2 – 1Sp Braga
Sp Braga4 – 0Rio Ave
Rio Ave0 – 0Sp Braga
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rio Avevs
Sp Braga
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.10
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 52.3%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.2%→Latest 50.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?