Porto vs Estoril Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio do Dragão
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.20
Draw
6.69
Away Win
15.72
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Porto
Estoril
Victor Froholdt (Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa) ⚽
4'
Jan Bednarek 🟨
34'
Borja Sainz (Gabri Veiga) ⚽
64'
André Silva ⚽
70'
Gabri Veiga (Borja Sainz) ⚽
73'
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
24
Total Shots
7
11
Shots on Goal
0
8
Corner Kicks
0
13
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Porto (4-3-3)
Diogo Costa
Alberto Baio
J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior
Z. Sanusi
Victor Mow Froholdt
P. Rosario
Gabri Veiga
Pepê Aquino
Samu
Borja Sainz
Estoril (4-5-1)
M. Turk
Pedro Carvalho
S. Andreou
Ferro
Tiago Parreira Parente
R. Guitane
A. Tsoungui
Xavi Sintes
J. Arnolin
Peixinho
André Lacximicant
Player Ratings ?
Porto
Gabri VeigaM8.9
Borja SainzF8.6
Victor Mow FroholdtM7.8
Estoril
A. CamblanF6.6
M. TurkG6.5
PeixinhoM6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Porto
Porto rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Porto a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Porto stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Porto stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Porto stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Porto stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Porto arrive at home with a perfect record in their last five outings, while Estoril have suffered five straight defeats on the road during this same span. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five home matches, yet they have managed to keep a clean sheet in only three of those same five fixtures. Porto rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Porto won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 12 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Estoril's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Porto's implied win probability has risen by 4.5 percentage points, while Estoril's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison points very strongly towards Porto.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
9
Porto unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Porto points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Porto
Porto's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Porto win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Porto win
Latest market chance 79.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
74.9% → 79.4%
+4.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 14.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
16.0% → 14.4%
−1.6 pts
Estoril win
Latest market chance 6.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
9.1% → 6.2%
−2.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Porto
Draw
Estoril
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PortoEstoril
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
18th
9
Games Played
9
3.00
Points/Game
0.22
2.33
Goals/Game
0.56
0.44
Conceded/Game
1.67
16.3
Shots/Game
13.7
6.5
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Porto at home (6 matches) vs Estoril away (8 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
2.83
Goals/Game
0.38
0.33
Conceded/Game
2.25
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Porto
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Estoril
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Porto Wins
4
Draws
0
Estoril Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Estoril1 – 3Porto
Porto1 – 0Estoril
Estoril1 – 2Porto
Porto4 – 0Estoril
Estoril1 – 0Porto
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Portovs
Estoril
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
0.50
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 59.0%−5.6 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 38.3%−13.2 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?