Nacional vs Academico Viseu Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio da Madeira
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.11
Draw
3.28
Away Win
2.44
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Nacional
Academico Viseu
7'
🟨 Cihan Kahraman
Stavros Gavriel 🟨
42'
50'
🟨 João Guilherme
68'
🟨 Robinho
78'
🟨 Anthony Correia
José Vitor Lima Cardoso 🟨
80'
Matchoi Djaló (Pablo Ruan) ⚽
86'
Matheus dos Santos Dias 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
19
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Nacional (4-3-3)
Renato Bellucci
M. Jensen
Francisco Gonçalves
Zé Vitor
W. Kokolo
Miguel Baeza
Matheus Dias
C. Labidi
S. Gavriel
N. Kader
Song Min-Kyu
Academico Viseu (4-2-3-1)
Ewerton
Robinho
A. Correia
N. Michelis
Miguel Brau
Luís Silva
S. Messeguem
João Guilherme
C. Kahraman
Nils Mortimer
André Clóvis
Player Ratings ?
Nacional
Renato BellucciG7.8
Matchoi DjalóM7.8
D. DongmoM7.2
Academico Viseu
EwertonG7.9
Miguel BrauD6.8
N. MichelisD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Academico Viseu an edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Academico Viseu stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Academico Viseu stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Academico Viseu stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Academico Viseu have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and two draws from their last five outings on the road, while Nacional have struggled at home with just one win and four defeats in that same span. Nacional have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have managed only a single clean sheet during that period. Academico Viseu rate stronger on form, attack and defence. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Academico Viseu.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Nacional losing run
3
Nacional points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nacional win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.7% → 31.7%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.6% → 29.2%
+0.6 pts
Academico Viseu win
Latest market chance 39.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.7% → 39.1%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nacional
Draw
Academico Viseu
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NacionalAcademico Viseu
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
6th
10
Games Played
10
0.70
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.90
Conceded/Game
1.20
10.8
Shots/Game
10.3
3.3
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Nacional at home (9 matches) vs Academico Viseu away (7 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.57
1.00
Goals/Game
1.29
1.89
Conceded/Game
1.00
44%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nacional
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Academico Viseu
Away form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Nacional and Academico Viseu.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nacionalvs
Academico Viseu
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 46.6%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 52.6%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?