Maritimo vs Santa Clara Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio do Marítimo
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.71
Draw
3.06
Away Win
2.27
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Maritimo
Santa Clara
36'
⚽ Tiago Ribeiro (Guilherme Romão)
44'
🟨 José Tavares
60'
⚽ Vinicius lopes (Emanuel Moreira)
Francisco Vieites 🟨
60'
Gábor Szalai 🟨
67'
90+3'
🟨 Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro
90+4'
🟨 Tiago Ribeiro
Simo Bouzaidi 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
2
17
Fouls
18
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Maritimo (3-4-3)
Fran Vieites
Rafael Fernandes
Romain Correia
G. Szalai
Igor Julião
Raphael Guzzo
Rodrigo Andrade
Paulo Henrique
M. Bassouamina
Adrián Butzke
Martín Tejón
Santa Clara (4-3-3)
Neneca
Lucas Soares
Pedro Pacheco
Emanuel Fernandes
Guilherme Romão
Daniel Borges
Tiago Ribeiro
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Vinícius Lopes
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Player Ratings ?
Maritimo
Romain CorreiaD7.0
Adrián ButzkeF6.5
M. BassouaminaF6.5
Santa Clara
Vinícius LopesF8.2
Tiago RibeiroM8.0
NenecaG7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Santa Clara
Santa Clara rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Maritimo edge head-to-head, giving Santa Clara an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Santa Clara slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Santa Clara stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Maritimo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Santa Clara arrive with an impressive away record, having secured four wins and just a single draw in their last five outings on the road, whereas Maritimo have struggled at home with only one win and a solitary draw from their most recent five matches. Maritimo have found the net in four of their last five home games but have managed just one clean sheet during that same period. Santa Clara rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Maritimo rate stronger on head-to-head. Maritimo won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 25 February 2023, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Santa Clara's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Maritimo's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points, while Santa Clara's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Santa Clara.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Maritimo losing run
13
Santa Clara points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Santa Clara
Santa Clara's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Santa Clara win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Maritimo win
Latest market chance 27.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
29.8% → 27.3%
−2.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.3% → 30.0%
−0.3 pts
Santa Clara win
Latest market chance 42.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
39.9% → 42.6%
+2.7 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MaritimoSanta Clara
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.44
2.11
Conceded/Game
0.67
10.7
Shots/Game
12.6
3.4
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Maritimo at home (6 matches) vs Santa Clara away (6 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
2.67
0.83
Goals/Game
1.33
1.83
Conceded/Game
0.33
17%
Win Rate
83%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Maritimo
Home form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Santa Clara
Away form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Maritimo Wins
2
Draws
1
Santa Clara Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.8
Maritimo3 – 1Santa Clara
Santa Clara2 – 1Maritimo
Santa Clara2 – 2Maritimo
Maritimo4 – 1Santa Clara
Maritimo1 – 2Santa Clara
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Maritimovs
Santa Clara
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.70
Goals conceded / game
0.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 37.7%→Latest 38.9%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.1%→Latest 45.6%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?