Gil Vicente vs Porto Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
7.54
Draw
4.66
Away Win
1.43
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Gil Vicente
Porto
56'
🟨 Pablo Rosario
63'
⚽ Borja Sainz
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert 🟥
84'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
8
17
Fouls
17
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Gil Vicente (4-2-3-1)
Lucão
Ricardo Esgaio
M. Elimbi Gilbert
Jonathan Buatu
David Moreira
A. Lausen
Diogo Ferreira Prioste
Murilo
Santi García
Joelson Fernandes
Walace
Porto (4-3-3)
Diogo Costa
Alberto Baio
J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior
Z. Sanusi
Victor Mow Froholdt
P. Rosario
Gabri Veiga
Pepê Aquino
André Silva
Borja Sainz
Player Ratings ?
Gil Vicente
Jonathan BuatuD7.2
LucãoG7.2
Santi GarcíaM7.1
Porto
J. BednarekD7.9
Borja SainzF7.9
J. KiwiorD7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Porto
Porto rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Porto an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Porto stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Porto stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Porto stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Porto stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Porto arrive with a perfect away record in their last five outings, while Gil Vicente have secured just two victories from the same number of home fixtures. Gil Vicente have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only managed two clean sheets during that identical span. Porto rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Porto won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 26 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Gil Vicente's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 12-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Porto.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
8
Porto unbeaten run
15
Porto points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 12 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gil Vicente win
Latest market chance 13.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
12.4% → 13.1%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.1% → 21.6%
−0.5 pts
Porto win
Latest market chance 65.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
65.5% → 65.3%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gil Vicente
Draw
Porto
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Gil VicentePorto
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
1st
8
Games Played
8
1.75
Points/Game
3.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.50
13.4
Shots/Game
16.3
3.4
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Gil Vicente at home (8 matches) vs Porto away (9 matches)
1.12
Points/Game
3.00
0.62
Goals/Game
2.33
0.62
Conceded/Game
0.56
25%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gil Vicente
Home form
W
W
L
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Porto
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gil Vicente Wins
1
Draws
1
Porto Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Porto3 – 0Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente0 – 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 – 1Porto
Porto3 – 0Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente1 – 1Porto
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gil Vicentevs
Porto
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.60
0.70
Goals conceded / game
0.60
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 50.8%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 43.9%→Latest 45.3%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?