Gil Vicente vs Guimaraes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 20:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.99
Draw
3.11
Away Win
2.68
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Gil Vicente
Guimaraes
Santiago García González 🟨
40'
Ricardo Esgaio 🟨
54'
60'
🟨 Toni Borevković
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Goal
2
2
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
21
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Gil Vicente (4-2-3-1)
Lucão
José Silva
Ricardo Esgaio
Jonathan Buatu
David Moreira
A. Lausen
Diogo Ferreira Prioste
Murilo
Santi García
T. Touré
Walace
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1)
Lucas Furtado
T. Strata
T. Borevković
A. Sidibé
João Mendes
Beni
Gonçalo Nogueira
Gustavo
Samu
O. Camara
A. Jakupovic
Player Ratings ?
Gil Vicente
Ricardo EsgaioD7.3
LucãoG7.2
José SilvaD7.1
Guimaraes
João MendesD7.2
A. SidibéD7.0
Lucas FurtadoG7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Gil Vicente edge recent form and defence, Guimaraes edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Gil Vicente stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Guimaraes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Gil Vicente slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Guimaraes stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Guimaraes have endured a difficult away run with five straight defeats, while Gil Vicente are winless in three of their last five home outings. Gil Vicente have scored in just two of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same period. Gil Vicente rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Guimaraes rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Guimaraes won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 18 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Gil Vicente's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Gil Vicente's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points, while Guimaraes's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Guimaraes points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Guimaraes
Guimaraes's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Guimaraes win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gil Vicente win
Latest market chance 32.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.3% → 32.7%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.2% → 29.8%
−0.4 pts
Guimaraes win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
35.4% → 37.4%
+2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gil Vicente
Draw
Guimaraes
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Gil VicenteGuimaraes
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
13th
9
Games Played
9
1.56
Points/Game
0.89
0.89
Goals/Game
1.11
0.78
Conceded/Game
1.11
13.4
Shots/Game
16.8
3.4
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Gil Vicente at home (8 matches) vs Guimaraes away (6 matches)
1.12
Points/Game
0.17
0.62
Goals/Game
0.67
0.62
Conceded/Game
1.67
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gil Vicente
Home form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Guimaraes
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gil Vicente Wins
1
Draws
1
Guimaraes Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.4
Gil Vicente0 – 1Guimaraes
Guimaraes0 – 0Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente0 – 1Guimaraes
Guimaraes4 – 0Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente1 – 0Guimaraes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gil Vicentevs
Guimaraes
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.10
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.7%→Latest 43.0%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.9%→Latest 49.7%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?