Famalicao vs Alverca Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 20:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.87
Draw
3.41
Away Win
4.82
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 4
Match Events ?
Famalicao
Alverca
Pedro Bondo Francisco 🟨
11'
Víctor Rofino Gordo 🟨
13'
14'
⚽ Francisco Chiquinho
34'
🟨 Francisco Chissumba
Mathias De Amorim 🟨
37'
Víctor Rofino Gordo (Marcos Peña) ⚽
39'
45+2'
🟨 Diogo Spencer
56'
⚽ Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos (Diogo Spencer)
77'
⚽ Vivaldo Semedo (Mateus Oliveira Mendes)
85'
⚽ (P) André Vidigal
Match Statistics ?
65%
Ball Possession
35%
13
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
27
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Famalicao (4-2-3-1)
L. Carević
Rodrigo Pinheiro
M. Mattara
Víctor Rofino
Pedro Francisco
Marcos Peña
Tamás Szücs
Gil Dias
Mathias De Amorim
Sorriso
G. Koutsias
Alverca (3-4-3)
Matheus Mendes
S. Baseya
Sergi Gómez
I. James
Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
Rayan
D. Gui
Francisco Chissumba
Chiquinho
D. Camara
Figueiredo
Player Ratings ?
Famalicao
Marcos PeñaM7.3
Víctor RofinoD6.8
U. AbubakarF6.7
Alverca
ChiquinhoF8.1
FigueiredoF8.1
André VidigalF7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Famalicao edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Famalicao stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Famalicao stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Famalicao slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Alverca have recorded two victories from their last five away outings, while Famalicao have secured just a single win in their corresponding home sample over the same span. Famalicao have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Famalicao rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Famalicao won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 16 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Alverca's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Famalicao's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Alverca's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Famalicao
Famalicao's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Famalicao win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Famalicao win
Latest market chance 50.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
51.4% → 50.4%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.9% → 27.7%
+0.8 pts
Alverca win
Latest market chance 22.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.7% → 22.0%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Famalicao
Draw
Alverca
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FamalicaoAlverca
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
10th
7
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
1.14
1.29
Goals/Game
1.29
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.57
10.0
Shots/Game
11.8
3.4
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Famalicao at home (6 matches) vs Alverca away (8 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
1.50
0.83
Goals/Game
1.88
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.38
17%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Famalicao
Home form
W
L
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alverca
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Famalicao Wins
1
Draws
0
Alverca Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.3
Famalicao1 – 4Alverca
Famalicao1 – 0Alverca
Alverca1 – 0Famalicao
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Famalicaovs
Alverca
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 24 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.9%→Latest 47.2%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.8%→Latest 50.3%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Famalicao's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?