Estoril vs Moreirense Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.96
Draw
3.65
Away Win
3.99
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Estoril
Moreirense
12'
⚽ Manuel Mendonça
15'
⚽ Tiago Andrade
Nail Omerovic 🟨
23'
Antef Tsoungui 🟨
27'
28'
⚽ Nile John
90'
🟨 Gilberto Batista
André Lacximicant 🟨
90+2'
André Tiago Ramos das Neves ⚽
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
26
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Estoril (4-3-3)
Joel Robles
Ricard Sánchez
Ferro
Xavi Sintes
R. Jurišić
A. Tsoungui
J. Holsgrove
João Carvalho
R. Guitane
A. Camblan
N. Omerović
Moreirense (4-2-3-1)
André Ferreira
Dinis Pinto
Gilberto Batista
Kevyn Monteiro
Kiko
N. John
Guilherme Liberato
Kiko Bondoso
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
Tiago Andrade
L. Vonić
Player Ratings ?
Estoril
FerroD7.3
PeixinhoF6.8
J. HolsgroveM6.7
Moreirense
Tiago AndradeM8.2
N. JohnM8.2
André FerreiraG7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Estoril edge attack and defence, Moreirense edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Moreirense stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Estoril stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Estoril slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Moreirense stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Moreirense have secured just one win and suffered three defeats in their last five away outings, while Estoril remain winless at home with two draws and three losses across their most recent five matches. At home, Estoril have found the net in three of their last five fixtures but have only managed a single clean sheet during that same period. Moreirense rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Estoril rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in defence. Moreirense won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 20 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Estoril's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Estoril losing run
2
Estoril points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Estoril win
Latest market chance 49.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.1% → 49.3%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.2%
−0.4 pts
Moreirense win
Latest market chance 24.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.6%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Estoril
Draw
Moreirense
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EstorilMoreirense

Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
12th
8
Games Played
8
0.25
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.88
13.7
Shots/Game
8.7
4.7
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Estoril at home (5 matches) vs Moreirense away (6 matches)
0.40
Points/Game
1.17
0.60
Goals/Game
1.00
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Estoril
Home form
L
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Moreirense
Away form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Estoril Wins
0
Draws
3
Moreirense Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.6
Moreirense1 – 0Estoril
Estoril3 – 3Moreirense
Moreirense2 – 2Estoril
Estoril2 – 2Moreirense
Moreirense2 – 1Estoril
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Estorilvs
Moreirense

Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.8%→Latest 49.9%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 53.2%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?