Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio do Fontelo
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.89
Draw
3.57
Away Win
4.33
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Academico Viseu
Rio Ave
38'
⚽ Miguel Patricío (João Tomé Baptista)
57'
🟨 Jalen Blesa
Soufiane Messeguem 🟨
63'
Soufiane Messeguem (André Clóvis) ⚽
69'
76'
🟨 Georgios Liavas
André Clóvis (Alejandro Mestanza) ⚽
77'
90+6'
🟥 Andreas Ntoi
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
6
8
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Academico Viseu (4-2-3-1)
Ewerton
Robinho
A. Correia
N. Michelis
Miguel Brau
Luís Silva
S. Messeguem
Nils Mortimer
C. Kahraman
João Guilherme
André Clóvis
Rio Ave (4-2-3-1)
E. van der Gouw
João Tomé
A. Ntoi
Gustavo Mancha
M. Vrousai
Diogo Nascimento
G. Liavas
S. Clemmensen
M. Patricio
Diogo Bezerra
J. Blesa
Player Ratings ?
Academico Viseu
André ClóvisF8.7
S. MesseguemM7.5
A. CorreiaD7.1
Rio Ave
M. PatricioM7.6
João ToméD7.0
Diogo NascimentoM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Academico Viseu an edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Academico Viseu stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Academico Viseu stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Academico Viseu stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Rio Ave arrive at this Primeira Liga fixture with a troubling away record of just one win from their last five outings, while host Academico Viseu have secured four victories in the same number of home matches. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home games but have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that identical recent sample. Academico Viseu rate stronger on form, attack and defence. Over the 6-day comparison window, Academico Viseu's implied win probability has risen by 4.4 percentage points, while Rio Ave's implied win probability has fallen by 3.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Academico Viseu.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
59%
Rio Ave yellow cards after 75'
3
Rio Ave points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Academico Viseu win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Academico Viseu win
Latest market chance 50.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
46.0% → 50.4%
+4.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.2% → 26.2%
−1.0 pts
Rio Ave win
Latest market chance 23.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
26.8% → 23.4%
−3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Academico Viseu
Draw
Rio Ave
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Academico ViseuRio Ave
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
16th
9
Games Played
9
1.89
Points/Game
0.78
1.44
Goals/Game
0.89
1.22
Conceded/Game
2.33
10.3
Shots/Game
7.6
3.8
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Academico Viseu at home (7 matches) vs Rio Ave away (6 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
0.50
1.43
Goals/Game
0.50
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.50
71%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Academico Viseu
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rio Ave
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Academico Viseu and Rio Ave.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Academico Viseuvs
Rio Ave
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 50.4%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?