Academico Viseu vs Estoril Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio do Fontelo
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.32
Draw
3.43
Away Win
3.16
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Academico Viseu
Estoril
27'
🟨 Jordan Holsgrove
Cihan Kahraman (Anthony Correia) ⚽
29'
Cihan Kahraman 🟨
31'
56'
⚽ Rafik Guitane (João Carvalho)
Soufiane Messeguem 🟨
60'
Anthony Correia 🟨
73'
Soufiane Messeguem (Alejandro Mestanza) ⚽
88'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Goal
9
3
Corner Kicks
5
24
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
8
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Academico Viseu (4-2-3-1)
Ewerton
Robinho
A. Correia
N. Michelis
Miguel Brau
C. Kahraman
Luís Silva
João Guilherme
S. Messeguem
L. Gohi
André Clóvis
Estoril (3-4-2-1)
Joel Robles
S. Amissah
Xavi Sintes
A. Tsoungui
Ricard Sánchez
M. Robin
J. Holsgrove
R. Jurišić
R. Guitane
João Carvalho
André Lacximicant
Player Ratings ?
Academico Viseu
EwertonG8.2
C. KahramanM7.9
S. MesseguemM7.6
Estoril
R. GuitaneM7.9
João CarvalhoM7.4
J. HolsgroveM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu rate stronger in recent form and attack; defence is closely matched, giving Academico Viseu an edge.
Leads 2 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Academico Viseu stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Academico Viseu stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Estoril have struggled away from home recently, managing just a single draw in their last five outings, while Academico Viseu have recorded two wins and suffered two defeats in their four matches at this venue. Academico Viseu have found the net in two of their last four home games and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same sample. Academico Viseu rate stronger on form and attack, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Academico Viseu.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Estoril losing run
45%
Academico Viseu yellow cards after 75'
1
Estoril points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Academico Viseu win
Latest market chance 41.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.5% → 41.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 27.8%
+0.2 pts
Estoril win
Latest market chance 30.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.9% → 30.8%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Academico Viseu
Draw
Estoril
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Academico ViseuEstoril
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
18th
7
Games Played
7
1.57
Points/Game
0.29
1.29
Goals/Game
0.43
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.43
10.3
Shots/Game
13.7
3.8
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Academico Viseu at home (7 matches) vs Estoril away (8 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
0.00
1.43
Goals/Game
0.38
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.25
71%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Academico Viseu
Home form
L
L
W
W
Won 2 of last 4 at home
Limited history — only 4 home fixtures on record for Academico Viseu.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.5
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
0/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Estoril
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Academico Viseu and Estoril.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Academico Viseuvs
Estoril
Recent Scoring Profile
1.38
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.25
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/8
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
4/8
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/8
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.9%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.8%→Latest 54.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Academico Viseu have only 8 completed fixtures on record.
2 of Estoril's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?