Tottenham vs Coventry Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.52
Draw
4.68
Away Win
6.09
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Tottenham
Coventry
James Maddison (Mohammed Kudus) ⚽
14'
20'
🟨 Caleb Yirenkyi
Dominic Solanke 🟨
22'
45'
🟨 Jay Dasilva
49'
⚽ Jack Rudoni (Brandon Thomas-Asante)
Omar Marmoush (Andrew Robertson) ⚽
58'
64'
🟨 Jack Rudoni
Ben Davies (Dominic Solanke) ⚽
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
16
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Tottenham (4-2-3-1)
A. Kinský
J. van Hecke
T. Adarabioyo
M. van de Ven
A. Robertson
A. Gray
S. Tonali
M. Kudus
J. Maddison
Omar Marmoush
D. Solanke
Coventry (4-2-3-1)
C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk
B. Thomas
E. Pinnock
J. Dasilva
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
M. Grimes
T. Sakamoto
J. Rudoni
B. Thomas-Asante
S. Cherif
Player Ratings ?
Tottenham
J. MaddisonM8.2
Omar MarmoushM7.8
M. KudusM7.7
Coventry
J. RudoniM6.8
B. Thomas-AsanteM6.7
M. van EwijkD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Tottenham edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tottenham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Coventry have struggled on the road with just a solitary victory in their last five away outings, while Tottenham remain competitive at home despite recording only one win and two draws from their recent five matches. The Spurs have found the net in three of their last five home games but have conceded in three of those same fixtures, managing just two clean sheets during that span. Tottenham face a significant selection headache with three players confirmed out and two listed as doubtful, whereas Coventry are slightly clearer with four definite absences but no doubts surrounding their squad. Tottenham rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2001. The market has remained broadly steady over the 10-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Coventry losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Coventry points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 10 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tottenham win
Latest market chance 63.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
63.6% → 63.6%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.9% → 21.0%
+0.1 pts
Coventry win
Latest market chance 15.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.5% → 15.3%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tottenham
Draw
Coventry
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TottenhamCoventry
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
6
0.50
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
0.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.83
15.5
Shots/Game
11.2
4.4
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Tottenham at home (5 matches) vs Coventry away (6 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
0.50
1.40
Goals/Game
0.67
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.17
40%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tottenham
Home form
D
W
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Coventry
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tottenham Wins
3
Draws
1
Coventry Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Tottenham3 – 0Coventry
Coventry2 – 1Tottenham
Coventry0 – 1Tottenham
Tottenham3 – 2Coventry
Tottenham0 – 0Coventry
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tottenhamvs
Coventry
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
4/10
Failed to Score
7/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 60.0%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 55.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Tottenham's 10 matches and 4 of Coventry's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?