Man United vs Tottenham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Old Trafford
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
4.30
Away Win
4.34
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Man United
Tottenham
4'
🟨 Conor Gallagher
Bryan Mbeumo (Matheus Cunha) ⚽
73'
78'
🟥 Rodrigo Bentancur
78'
🟨 Jan Paul van Hecke
Luke Shaw 🟨
78'
Bruno Fernandes 🟨
84'
Lisandro Martínez 🟨
87'
90+2'
⚽ Dominic Solanke (Sandro Tonali)
Diogo Dalot 🟨
90+6'
90+8'
🟨 Archie Gray
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
16
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Man United (4-2-3-1)
S. Lammens
L. Yoro
H. Maguire
Lisandro Martínez
L. Shaw
Y. Tielemans
K. Mainoo
A. Diallo
Bruno Fernandes
Matheus Cunha
B. Mbeumo
Tottenham (4-2-3-1)
A. Kinský
A. Gray
J. van Hecke
M. Senesi
D. Udogie
L. Bergvall
S. Tonali
M. Kudus
C. Gallagher
Sávio
D. Solanke
Player Ratings ?
Man United
B. MbeumoF8.1
H. MaguireD7.5
C. BalebaM7.2
Tottenham
S. TonaliM7.7
D. SolankeF7.6
M. SenesiD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Man United edge recent form and attack, defence and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Man United have enjoyed a robust run at home with four victories from their last five outings, while Tottenham have been inconsistent on the road with two wins and two defeats in that same span. The Red Devils have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Both squads face significant selection issues, with Man United carrying seven doubtful players and two confirmed absences, while Tottenham have four out and two in doubt for the fixture. Man United rate stronger on form and attack, while defence and head-to-head are closely matched. Man United won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 7 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Tottenham's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 27-day comparison window, Man United's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Tottenham's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Man United
Man United's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Man United win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Man United win
Latest market chance 55.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
57.8% → 55.7%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.5% → 23.2%
+0.7 pts
Tottenham win
Latest market chance 21.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
19.7% → 21.1%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Man United
Draw
Tottenham
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Man UnitedTottenham
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
20th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
0.40
1.60
Goals/Game
0.40
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.60
19.3
Shots/Game
15.5
5.4
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Man United at home (6 matches) vs Tottenham away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.33
Goals/Game
0.60
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
17%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Man United
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Tottenham
Away form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Man United Wins
1
Draws
2
Tottenham Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Man United2 – 0Tottenham
Tottenham2 – 2Man United
Tottenham1 – 0Man United
Man United0 – 3Tottenham
Man United2 – 2Tottenham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Man Unitedvs
Tottenham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 63.4%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.8%→Latest 62.1%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Man United's 10 matches and 5 of Tottenham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?