Man United vs Bournemouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Old Trafford
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.30
Draw
3.63
Away Win
3.15
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Man United
Bournemouth
Andrey Santos 🟨
22'
27'
🟨 Tyler Adams
Ayden Heaven 🟨
37'
38'
⚽ Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Justin Kluivert)
Youri Tielemans 🟨
40'
43'
⚽ Marcus Tavernier (Adrien Truffert)
Harry Maguire 🟨
45+3'
71'
⚽ Francisco Evanilson (Lewis Cook)
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
17
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Man United (4-2-3-1)
S. Lammens
L. Yoro
H. Maguire
A. Heaven
Diogo Dalot
Andrey Santos
C. Baleba
A. Diallo
Y. Tielemans
M. Mount
B. Mbeumo
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Đ. Petrović
A. Smith
J. Hill
António Silva
A. Truffert
T. Adams
L. Cook
Rayan
J. Kluivert
M. Tavernier
Evanilson
Player Ratings ?
Man United
L. YoroD6.9
Matheus CunhaF6.6
Andrey SantosM6.5
Bournemouth
M. TavernierM8.2
EvanilsonF8.1
J. KluivertM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Man United edge recent form, attack and defence, Bournemouth edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Man United stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Man United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bournemouth stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bournemouth have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, whereas Man United have secured three victories in that same span at home. Man United have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that period. There are significant concerns for Man United with five players out and two doubtful, while Bournemouth face similar issues with three unavailable and two questionable selections. Man United rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Bournemouth rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 20 March 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Man United's implied win probability has fallen by 10.6 percentage points, while Bournemouth's implied win probability has risen by 7.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Man United
Man United's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Man United win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Man United win
Latest market chance 41.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
52.3% → 41.7%
−10.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
23.4% → 26.6%
+3.2 pts
Bournemouth win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
24.3% → 31.7%
+7.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Man United
Draw
Bournemouth
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Man UnitedBournemouth
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
17th
7
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
0.86
1.43
Goals/Game
1.29
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.86
19.3
Shots/Game
14.2
5.4
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Man United at home (6 matches) vs Bournemouth away (6 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.67
2.33
Goals/Game
1.83
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.83
17%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Man United
Home form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bournemouth
Away form
W
D
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Man United Wins
0
Draws
4
Bournemouth Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.2
Bournemouth2 – 2Man United
Man United4 – 4Bournemouth
Bournemouth1 – 1Man United
Man United0 – 3Bournemouth
Bournemouth2 – 2Man United
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Man Unitedvs
Bournemouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 57.7%−6.6 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 61.0%−3.3 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Man United's 10 matches and 3 of Bournemouth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?