Man City vs Ipswich Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Etihad Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.24
Draw
7.02
Away Win
10.45
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Man City
Ipswich
Phil Foden (Jeremy Doku) ⚽
19'
21'
⚽ Daizen Maeda (Abdoul Ouattara)
Erling Haaland (Mateo Kovačić) ⚽
34'
Erling Haaland (Iliman Ndiaye) ⚽
69'
73'
🟨 Abdoul Ouattara
90'
⚽ (P) Zian Flemming
Josko Gvardiol 🟨
90+7'
90+12'
🟨 Leif Davis
Match Statistics ?
70%
Ball Possession
30%
19
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Man City (4-2-3-1)
G. Donnarumma
Matheus Nunes
Rúben Dias
M. Guéhi
N. O'Reilly
M. Kovačić
A. Bouaddi
I. Ndiaye
P. Foden
J. Doku
E. Haaland
Ipswich (3-4-2-1)
C. Walton
D. O'Shea
I. Diop
J. Greaves
A. Ouattara
Florentino
E. Palacios
L. Davis
D. Maeda
J. Enciso
Emersonn
Player Ratings ?
Man City
E. HaalandF9.8
P. FodenM8.2
M. KovačićM7.7
Ipswich
Z. FlemmingF7.7
D. MaedaM7.0
A. OuattaraM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Man City
Man City rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Man City an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Man City have secured four wins from their last five home outings, whereas Ipswich have recorded just a solitary victory in five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in each of their last five matches at this venue while keeping two clean sheets during the same period. Ipswich face a potential selection issue with one player listed as doubtful ahead of the Premier League clash. Man City rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Man City won the most recent meeting 6-0 on 19 January 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Ipswich's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Man City's implied win probability has fallen by 3.1 percentage points, while Ipswich's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Man City.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Man City unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
62%
Man City yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Man City
Man City's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Man City win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Man City win
Latest market chance 76.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
79.1% → 76.0%
−3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 14.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
13.3% → 14.5%
+1.2 pts
Ipswich win
Latest market chance 9.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
7.6% → 9.6%
+2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Man City
Draw
Ipswich
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Man CityIpswich
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
10th
6
Games Played
6
3.00
Points/Game
1.50
2.67
Goals/Game
1.50
0.83
Conceded/Game
2.00
15.0
Shots/Game
10.9
5.4
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Man City at home (5 matches) vs Ipswich away (5 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
0.80
2.20
Goals/Game
1.80
1.40
Conceded/Game
2.60
80%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Man City
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ipswich
Away form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Man City Wins
3
Draws
0
Ipswich Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.0
Ipswich0 – 6Man City
Man City4 – 1Ipswich
Ipswich2 – 1Man City
Man City2 – 3Ipswich
Man City1 – 0Ipswich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Man Cityvs
Ipswich
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded / game
2.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.1%→Latest 68.8%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.1%→Latest 53.5%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Man City's 10 matches and 4 of Ipswich's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?