Man City vs Fulham Head to Head, Prediction
Etihad Stadium
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.45
Draw
4.96
Away Win
6.11
Match Prediction
Data favours
Man City
Man City rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Fulham edge defence, giving Man City a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Man City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fulham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Man City stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Man City
Man City's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Man City win as less likely than it did 14 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Man City win
Latest market chance 65.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
66.4% → 65.4%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.4% → 19.6%
+0.2 pts
Fulham win
Latest market chance 15.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.3% → 15.0%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Man City
Draw
Fulham
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Man CityFulham
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
15th
10
Games Played
10
2.10
Points/Game
1.00
2.10
Goals/Game
1.00
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.20
15.0
Shots/Game
14.0
5.4
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Man City at home (5 matches) vs Fulham away (5 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
1.00
2.20
Goals/Game
0.60
1.40
Conceded/Game
0.80
80%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Man City
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fulham
Away form
L
D
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Man City Wins
5
Draws
0
Fulham Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.6
Man City3 – 0Fulham
Fulham4 – 5Man City
Fulham0 – 2Man City
Man City3 – 2Fulham
Fulham0 – 4Man City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Man Cityvs
Fulham
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 63.1%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.5%→Latest 57.3%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?