Liverpool vs Man United Head to Head, Prediction
Anfield
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.84
Draw
3.91
Away Win
3.98
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Liverpool edge recent form and defence, Man United edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Liverpool stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Liverpool stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Man United stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Liverpool win
Latest market chance 51.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
51.9% → 51.8%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 24.4%
+0.2 pts
Man United win
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.8%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Liverpool
Draw
Man United
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LiverpoolMan United
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
18th
10
Games Played
10
1.80
Points/Game
0.80
1.40
Goals/Game
1.40
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.90
16.0
Shots/Game
19.3
4.7
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Liverpool at home (5 matches) vs Man United away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.60
0.80
Goals/Game
0.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.60
20%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Liverpool
Home form
D
D
L
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Man United
Away form
L
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Liverpool Wins
1
Draws
2
Man United Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.8
Man United3 – 2Liverpool
Liverpool1 – 2Man United
Liverpool2 – 2Man United
Man United0 – 3Liverpool
Man United2 – 2Liverpool
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Liverpoolvs
Man United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded / game
2.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 58.8%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 60.6%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?