Liverpool vs Brighton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Liverpool sit at home with a drawn-heavy recent run of four draws and one loss from five outings, while Brighton have found away success with two wins but three defeats in their last five matches across seasons. At home, Liverpool have scored in just three of their last five matches and kept only one clean sheet from that same recent sample. Both squads carry notable absence concerns ahead of the clash, with Liverpool having six confirmed out and one doubtful, while Brighton face seven confirmed absences plus one player in doubt. Brighton rate stronger on form, attack and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Brighton won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 21 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Liverpool's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Liverpool's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points, while Brighton's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.