Liverpool vs Arsenal Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Anfield
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.93
Draw
3.41
Away Win
2.51
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Liverpool
Arsenal
16'
⚽ Kai Havertz (Declan Rice)
Bradley Barcola 🟨
45+3'
55'
🟨 Noni Madueke
Milos Kerkez 🟨
67'
72'
🟨 Myles Lewis-Skelly
Alexis Mac Allister 🟨
80'
80'
🟨 Jurriën Timber
90+3'
🟨 David Raya
Virgil van Dijk 🟨
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
17
Total Shots
10
0
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
4
18
Fouls
10
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Liverpool (4-2-3-1)
Alisson Becker
R. Araújo
J. Jacquet
V. van Dijk
M. Kerkez
A. Mac Allister
T. Nyoni
C. Gakpo
F. Wirtz
B. Barcola
A. Isak
Arsenal (4-2-3-1)
David Raya
J. Timber
E. Konsa
Gabriel Magalhães
R. Calafiori
D. Rice
Bruno Guimarães
N. Madueke
M. Ødegaard
C. Tzolis
K. Havertz
Player Ratings ?
Liverpool
T. NyoniM7.1
M. KerkezD6.7
R. AraújoD6.7
Arsenal
K. HavertzF7.8
D. RiceM7.7
E. KonsaD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Liverpool edge head-to-head, Arsenal edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Arsenal stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Liverpool stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Arsenal arrive with an impressive away record of four wins from their last five outings, whereas Liverpool have found more consistency at home with three draws and a solitary win in the same span. The Reds have scored in just three of their last five home matches while keeping two clean sheets during that identical period. Liverpool face a squad with five confirmed absences and one doubtful player, while Arsenal have two certain outcasts alongside two players listed as doubtful for the clash. Arsenal rate stronger on form and defence, while Liverpool rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 8 January 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Liverpool's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points, while Arsenal's implied win probability has fallen by 4.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Arsenal unbeaten run
50%
Arsenal yellow cards after 75'
12
Arsenal points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Arsenal
Arsenal's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Arsenal win as less likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Liverpool win
Latest market chance 32.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
29.3% → 32.4%
+3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.1% → 28.4%
+1.3 pts
Arsenal win
Latest market chance 39.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
43.6% → 39.2%
−4.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Liverpool
Draw
Arsenal
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LiverpoolArsenal
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
2nd
8
Games Played
8
1.88
Points/Game
2.63
1.38
Goals/Game
1.62
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.62
16.0
Shots/Game
13.8
4.7
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Liverpool at home (5 matches) vs Arsenal away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.40
0.80
Goals/Game
1.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
0.60
20%
Win Rate
80%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Liverpool
Home form
D
D
D
L
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Arsenal
Away form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Liverpool Wins
1
Draws
3
Arsenal Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Arsenal0 – 0Liverpool
Liverpool1 – 0Arsenal
Liverpool2 – 2Arsenal
Arsenal2 – 2Liverpool
Arsenal3 – 1Liverpool
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Liverpoolvs
Arsenal
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded / game
0.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 50.8%−3.5 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 55.7%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Liverpool's 10 matches and 2 of Arsenal's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?