Leeds vs Tottenham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Elland Road
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.82
Draw
3.40
Away Win
2.62
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Leeds
Tottenham
15'
🟨 Micky van de Ven
Sean Longstaff 🟨
22'
51'
🟨 Pedro Porro
51'
🟨 Roberto De Zerbi
Noah Okafor ⚽
79'
Noah Okafor 🟨
80'
88'
🟨 Sandro Tonali
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
16
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Leeds (3-4-2-1)
J. Trafford
J. Justin
N. Elvedi
T. Muharemović
J. Bogle
E. Ampadu
A. Tanaka
G. Gudmundsson
S. Longstaff
L. Nmecha
D. Calvert-Lewin
Tottenham (4-3-3)
A. Kinský
Pedro Porro
J. van Hecke
M. van de Ven
A. Robertson
S. Tonali
Mateus Fernandes
A. Gray
M. Kudus
Omar Marmoush
M. Tel
Player Ratings ?
Leeds
J. TraffordG7.7
N. OkaforF7.7
J. JustinD7.1
Tottenham
J. van HeckeD7.3
A. GrayM6.9
C. GallagherM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Tottenham
Tottenham rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Tottenham a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tottenham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tottenham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leeds have remained unbeaten in their last five home matches with two victories from that sample, while Tottenham have recorded just one away win across their recent five outings. At home, Leeds have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same span. Tottenham rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 11 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Leeds's implied win probability has fallen by 5.3 percentage points, while Tottenham's implied win probability has risen by 4.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Tottenham a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Leeds
Leeds's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Leeds win as less likely than it did 12 days ago. Tottenham remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leeds win
Latest market chance 34.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
39.7% → 34.4%
−5.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 28.5%
+0.5 pts
Tottenham win
Latest market chance 37.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
32.4% → 37.1%
+4.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leeds
Draw
Tottenham
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeedsTottenham
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
9th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.11
0.89
Conceded/Game
1.11
12.1
Shots/Game
15.5
3.7
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Leeds at home (5 matches) vs Tottenham away (5 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
1.00
1.40
Goals/Game
0.60
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leeds
Home form
W
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Tottenham
Away form
L
L
D
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leeds Wins
0
Draws
1
Tottenham Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.2
Tottenham1 – 1Leeds
Leeds1 – 2Tottenham
Leeds1 – 4Tottenham
Tottenham4 – 3Leeds
Leeds0 – 4Tottenham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leedsvs
Tottenham
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.00
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 48.9%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Leeds's 10 matches and 1 of Tottenham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?