Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Portman Road Stadium
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.12
Draw
3.46
Away Win
2.36
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Ipswich
Nott'm Forest
13'
⚽ Neco Williams (Daniel Muñoz)
Julio Enciso ⚽
41'
Issa Diop 🟨
51'
54'
🟨 Murillo Santiago
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
7
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Goal
5
0
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Ipswich (4-2-3-1)
C. Walton
A. Ouattara
I. Diop
D. O'Shea
L. Davis
E. Palacios
Florentino
A. Fatawu
J. Enciso
J. Philogene
Emersonn
Nott'm Forest (3-4-2-1)
M. Sels
Jair
N. Milenković
Murillo
D. Muñoz
J. McAtee
X. Schlager
N. Williams
M. Gibbs-White
D. Ndoye
L. Delap
Player Ratings ?
Ipswich
J. EncisoM7.7
Z. FlemmingF6.9
D. O'SheaD6.8
Nott'm Forest
N. WilliamsM7.8
D. MuñozM7.7
N. MilenkovićD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ipswich edge recent form, Nott'm Forest edge defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ipswich stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Nott'm Forest slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nott'm Forest stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nott'm Forest have secured two away victories alongside a draw in their last five outings, while Ipswich have won twice at home but suffered three defeats over the same span. Ipswich have found the net in three of their last five home matches and failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. The Tractor Boys face two doubtfuls with no confirmed absences, whereas Nott'm Forest have one player out and two listed as questionable for the clash. Ipswich rate stronger on form, while Nott'm Forest rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Nott'm Forest won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 15 March 2025, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Ipswich's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Ipswich's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points, while Nott'm Forest's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Ipswich
Ipswich's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Ipswich win as less likely than it did 11 days ago. Nott'm Forest remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ipswich win
Latest market chance 29.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.4% → 29.9%
−3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.4% → 27.7%
+0.3 pts
Nott'm Forest win
Latest market chance 42.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
39.2% → 42.4%
+3.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
12 snapshots
+4+20−2Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ipswich
Draw
Nott'm Forest
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ipswich
Nott'm Forest
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
19th
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
0.71
1.57
Goals/Game
0.71
2.14
Conceded/Game
1.29
10.9
Shots/Game
16.3
3.9
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Ipswich at home (6 matches) vs Nott'm Forest away (5 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
1.00
1.17
Goals/Game
1.20
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.80
33%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ipswich
Home form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Nott'm Forest
Away form
W
L
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ipswich Wins
0
Draws
1
Nott'm Forest Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.8
2025-03-152024-2025
Ipswich2 – 4Nott'm Forest
2024-11-302024-2025
Nott'm Forest1 – 0Ipswich
2019-03-162018-2019
Ipswich1 – 1Nott'm Forest
2018-12-012018-2019
Nott'm Forest2 – 0Ipswich
2018-04-142017-2018
Nott'm Forest2 – 1Ipswich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ipswich
vs
Nott'm Forest
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
54.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
34.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 54.2%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23
8 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 58.7%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Ipswich's 10 matches and 3 of Nott'm Forest's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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