Ipswich vs Fulham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Portman Road Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.78
Draw
3.61
Away Win
2.52
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Ipswich
Fulham
Leif Davis 🟨
19'
44'
🟨 Josh King
51'
🟨 Calvin Bassey
55'
⚽ Ryan Sessegnon
84'
🟨 Manuel Ángel Morán
Abdoul Ouattara ⚽
88'
Dara O'Shea (Jack Clarke) ⚽
90+1'
90+4'
🟨 Emile Smith Rowe
Christian Walton 🟨
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Ipswich (4-2-3-1)
C. Walton
A. Ouattara
I. Diop
D. O'Shea
L. Davis
S. Lukić
Florentino
D. Maeda
J. Enciso
J. Philogene
Emersonn
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
B. Leno
K. Tete
D. Affengruber
C. Bassey
R. Sessegnon
S. Berge
S. Charles
Oscar Bobb
Joshua King
A. Iwobi
Gonzalo García
Player Ratings ?
Ipswich
A. OuattaraD7.7
D. O'SheaD7.4
S. LukićM7.1
Fulham
R. SessegnonD7.7
A. IwobiM7.0
C. BasseyD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ipswich edge attack, Fulham edge defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Ipswich slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fulham have drawn three and lost two of their last five away fixtures, while Ipswich have won just once in four defeats at home during that same span. Ipswich have scored in only two of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those five outings. There are no confirmed absences for the visitors, though three Fulham players remain doubtful for the match. Ipswich hold a slight advantage in attack, while Fulham rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while form is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 5 January 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 27-day comparison window, Ipswich's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points, while Fulham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fulham losing run
50%
Fulham yellow cards after 75'
3
Ipswich points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ipswich win
Latest market chance 35.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.3% → 35.4%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 27.2%
±0.0 pts
Fulham win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.5% → 37.4%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ipswich
Draw
Fulham
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
IpswichFulham
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
19th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
0.40
1.40
Goals/Game
1.00
2.20
Conceded/Game
1.60
10.9
Shots/Game
14.0
3.9
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Ipswich at home (6 matches) vs Fulham away (5 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
1.00
1.17
Goals/Game
0.60
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.80
33%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ipswich
Home form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fulham
Away form
D
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ipswich Wins
0
Draws
2
Fulham Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
Fulham2 – 2Ipswich
Ipswich1 – 1Fulham
Fulham4 – 1Ipswich
Ipswich0 – 2Fulham
Fulham3 – 1Ipswich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ipswichvs
Fulham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 54.3%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 58.9%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Ipswich's 10 matches and 5 of Fulham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?