Ipswich vs Bournemouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Portman Road Stadium
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.09
Draw
3.75
Away Win
1.92
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Ipswich
Bournemouth
5'
⚽ Francisco Evanilson
43'
🟨 Adam Smith
Julio Enciso 🟨
43'
43'
🟨 Marcus Tavernier
46'
⚽ (OG) Leif Davis
Jack Clarke ⚽ (P)
73'
90+3'
🟨 Antonio Silva
Zian Flemming 🟨
90+9'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
10
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
4
2
Corner Kicks
7
6
Fouls
20
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Ipswich (4-2-3-1)
C. Walton
A. Ouattara
I. Diop
D. O'Shea
L. Davis
E. Palacios
Florentino
D. Maeda
J. Enciso
J. Philogene
Emersonn
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Đ. Petrović
A. Smith
J. Hill
António Silva
A. Truffert
T. Adams
R. Christie
Rayan
J. Kluivert
M. Tavernier
Evanilson
Player Ratings ?
Ipswich
J. ClarkeF7.4
D. O'SheaD6.8
A. FatawuF6.7
Bournemouth
EvanilsonF8.2
A. TruffertD6.9
A. AdliF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ipswich edge head-to-head, Bournemouth edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bournemouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bournemouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bournemouth stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ipswich slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bournemouth have managed just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Ipswich have secured two victories in their corresponding home sample over that same period. Ipswich have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have yet to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Bournemouth rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Ipswich hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Ipswich won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 2 April 2025, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Bournemouth's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Ipswich's implied win probability has fallen by 3.9 percentage points, while Bournemouth's implied win probability has risen by 4.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Bournemouth
Bournemouth's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Bournemouth win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ipswich win
Latest market chance 24.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
28.8% → 24.5%
−4.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.3%
−0.5 pts
Bournemouth win
Latest market chance 50.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
45.4% → 50.2%
+4.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ipswich
Draw
Bournemouth
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
IpswichBournemouth
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
9th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.33
1.56
Goals/Game
1.56
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.44
10.9
Shots/Game
14.2
3.9
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Ipswich at home (6 matches) vs Bournemouth away (6 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
1.67
1.17
Goals/Game
1.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.83
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ipswich
Home form
W
L
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bournemouth
Away form
L
D
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ipswich Wins
1
Draws
2
Bournemouth Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Ipswich1 – 2Bournemouth
Bournemouth1 – 2Ipswich
Ipswich1 – 2Bournemouth
Ipswich1 – 1Bournemouth
Bournemouth2 – 2Ipswich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ipswichvs
Bournemouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 55.9%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 58.2%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?