Hull vs Brighton Head to Head | Premier League

Match Prediction

Data favours

Brighton

Brighton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Brighton an edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Brighton stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Brighton stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Brighton stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Brighton stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Hull win

Latest market chance 16.7%

Steady

Market view unchanged

16.7% → 16.7%

±0.0 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 22.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

22.1% → 22.1%

±0.0 pts

Brighton win

Latest market chance 61.2%

Steady

Market view unchanged

61.2% → 61.2%

±0.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Hull

Draw

Brighton

6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Hull

Brighton

Season Profile

This season

13th

League Position

2nd

Games Played

1.10

Points/Game

2.20

1.10

Goals/Game

2.60

1.10

Conceded/Game

0.70

10.3

Shots/Game

16.9

3.1

Shots on Target

5.2

Home vs Away Context

Hull at home (5 matches) vs Brighton away (5 matches)

1.40

Points/Game

1.80

1.40

Goals/Game

2.20

1.00

Conceded/Game

1.20

20%

Win Rate

60%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Hull

Home form

Unbeaten in last 5 at home

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.0

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Brighton

Away form

Won 3 of last 5 away

2.2

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

3/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Hull Wins

Draws

Brighton Wins

Avg Goals

0.6

2016-02-162015-2016

Hull0 – 0Brighton

2015-09-122015-2016

Brighton1 – 0Hull

2013-02-092012-2013

Brighton1 – 0Hull

2012-08-182012-2013

Hull1 – 0Brighton

2012-02-222011-2012

Hull0 – 0Brighton

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Hull

Brighton

Recent Scoring Profile

1.10

Goals scored / game

2.40

1.10

Goals conceded / game

0.70

4/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

4/10

5/10

Both Teams Scored

2/10

3/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

79.0%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

57.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

36.1%

BTTSBoth teams score

53.9%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 59.0%→Latest 57.3%−1.7 pts

Notable move away from 3+ goals

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 21 days before kickoff

The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 54.2%→Latest 53.8%−0.4 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 21 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

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Hull vs Brighton Head to Head, Prediction