Fulham vs Newcastle Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Craven Cottage
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.70
Away Win
3.68
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Fulham
Newcastle
80'
⚽ Jacob Murphy
Rodrigo Muniz ⚽
83'
90'
🟨 Fabian Schär
90+2'
🟨 Amar Dedić
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
B. Leno
T. Castagne
D. Affengruber
C. Bassey
A. Robinson
S. Berge
S. Charles
Oscar Bobb
Joshua King
A. Iwobi
Gonzalo García
Newcastle (4-2-3-1)
L. Horníček
A. Dedić
M. Thiaw
D. Burn
L. Hall
Sean Steur
Nico González
J. Murphy
Y. Wissa
H. Barnes
W. Osula
Player Ratings ?
Fulham
Rodrigo MunizF8.1
A. IwobiM7.1
B. LenoG6.9
Newcastle
J. MurphyM8.0
M. ThiawD6.9
L. HallD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Fulham edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fulham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Newcastle have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, while Fulham have secured two victories and a draw in their corresponding home sample. The Cottagers have scored in each of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets within that same period. Fulham rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form. Fulham won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 24 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Newcastle's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Fulham's implied win probability has risen by 5.4 percentage points, while Newcastle's implied win probability has fallen by 4.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fulham losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
47%
Fulham yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Fulham
Fulham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Fulham win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fulham win
Latest market chance 47.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.9% → 47.3%
+5.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 25.4%
−0.6 pts
Newcastle win
Latest market chance 27.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
32.1% → 27.2%
−4.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fulham
Draw
Newcastle
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FulhamNewcastle
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
13th
9
Games Played
9
1.00
Points/Game
1.22
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.22
Conceded/Game
1.67
14.0
Shots/Game
12.2
4.6
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Fulham at home (5 matches) vs Newcastle away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.40
1.40
Goals/Game
1.40
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.80
20%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fulham
Home form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Newcastle
Away form
L
W
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fulham Wins
3
Draws
0
Newcastle Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Fulham2 – 0Newcastle
Newcastle2 – 1Fulham
Newcastle1 – 2Fulham
Fulham3 – 1Newcastle
Fulham0 – 1Newcastle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fulhamvs
Newcastle
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.8%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 59.6%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Fulham's 10 matches and 1 of Newcastle's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?