Fulham vs Hull Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Craven Cottage
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.74
Draw
3.98
Away Win
4.77
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Fulham
Hull
22'
🟨 Lucas Herrington
Josh King 🟨
27'
27'
🟨 Regan Slater
Alex Iwobi (Sander Berge) ⚽
33'
Sander Berge 🟨
84'
Ryan Sessegnon 🟥
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
76%
Ball Possession
24%
18
Total Shots
5
6
Shots on Goal
0
10
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
B. Leno
T. Castagne
D. Affengruber
C. Bassey
A. Robinson
S. Berge
S. Charles
Oscar Bobb
Joshua King
A. Iwobi
Gonzalo García
Hull (5-4-1)
K. Tzolakis
L. Coyle
S. Ajayi
J. Egan
L. Herrington
B. Norton-Cuffy
M. Belloumi
M. Crooks
R. Slater
S. Thomas
O. McBurnie
Player Ratings ?
Fulham
A. IwobiM8.2
S. BergeM7.7
T. CastagneD7.5
Hull
K. TzolakisG6.9
M. CrooksM6.7
S. AjayiD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Fulham edge attack and head-to-head, Hull edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hull stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fulham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fulham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fulham have suffered three defeats in their last five home outings, while Hull have managed just one win from five away fixtures across their recent campaigns. The Cottagers have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only kept a single clean sheet during that same period. Two Fulham players are currently listed as doubtful for selection, whereas Hull face nine confirmed absences ahead of this Premier League encounter. Hull rate stronger on form, while Fulham rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Fulham won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 12 February 2022, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Hull's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Fulham's implied win probability has fallen by 7.9 percentage points, while Hull's implied win probability has risen by 5.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fulham losing run
50%
Fulham yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Fulham
Fulham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Fulham win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fulham win
Latest market chance 55.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
63.2% → 55.3%
−7.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
22.0% → 24.4%
+2.4 pts
Hull win
Latest market chance 20.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
14.8% → 20.3%
+5.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fulham
Draw
Hull
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FulhamHull
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
8th
6
Games Played
6
0.33
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.0
Shots/Game
10.3
4.6
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Fulham at home (5 matches) vs Hull away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.80
1.40
Goals/Game
0.80
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.20
20%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fulham
Home form
L
W
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hull
Away form
D
L
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fulham Wins
3
Draws
1
Hull Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Hull0 – 1Fulham
Fulham2 – 0Hull
Hull0 – 1Fulham
Fulham0 – 3Hull
Hull2 – 2Fulham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fulhamvs
Hull
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 54.5%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 54.9%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Fulham's 10 matches and 4 of Hull's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?